Effectively Wild Episode 658: Playoff Odds Changes and the Meaning in Small Samples
Effectively Wild: A FanGraphs Baseball Podcast
Ben Lindbergh, Meg Rowley
4.7 • 2.7K Ratings
🗓️ 16 April 2015
⏱️ 34 minutes
🧾️ Download transcript
Summary
Ben and Sam talk to Matt Trueblood about the teams that have hurt or improved their odds the most, and the aspects of performance that are significant in small samples.
Transcript
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| 0:00.2 | $ space |
| 0:25.9 | Good morning and welcome to episode 658 of Effectively Wild, the Daily Podcast from |
| 0:32.9 | Baseball Perspectus, presented by the play index at baseballreference.com. |
| 0:37.4 | I am Ben Lindbergh of Grantland, joined by Sam Miller of Baseball Perspectus. |
| 0:41.6 | Hello. |
| 0:42.6 | Howdy. |
| 0:43.6 | Anything to say before we begin? |
| 0:46.0 | No sir. |
| 0:47.0 | Okay, well we are joined by another guest, Matt Trueblood, who last time he was on this |
| 0:53.3 | podcast was a banish to the pen writer or was that before banish to the pen, but he has |
| 0:58.7 | since moved on to become a regular voice at baseballreference where he is doing an excellent |
| 1:05.3 | job. |
| 1:06.3 | Hello Matt. |
| 1:07.3 | Hi. |
| 1:08.3 | So you wrote in article the other day it's kind of an article that someone writes every |
| 1:14.1 | year at this time looking at playoff odds changes and I wanted to talk to you about |
| 1:22.3 | things that you look at in small sample sizes or things that are meaningful in small sample |
| 1:28.3 | sizes. |
| 1:29.3 | So we can start with playoff odds and you have the updated numbers. |
| 1:34.6 | So I'm going to ask you to kind of run down what the biggest changes are so far and explain |
| 1:42.5 | how it happened and whether we actually know anything more about these teams than we |
| 1:47.8 | did a couple of weeks ago. |
... |
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