Good morning and welcome to episode 595 of Effectively Wild, the Daily Podcast from

Baseball Perspectus presented by the play index at baseballreference.com. I am Ben Lindbergh of

Grantland, normally joined by Sam Miller of Baseball Perspectus who is on vacation until Friday's

episode. So joining me today is a frequent guest and frequent guest co-host Russell Carlton of

BP. Hello, Russell. They're sending in the B team. And we have another guest today. Sam and I

haven't done a ton of Cooperstown talk this winter. Typically we save it all up for one big

blowout episode with a moustache-y old man who at some point this year will be able to say that he

has written the book on the Hall of Fame. But can already say that he writes a book's worth of

Hall of Fame articles every winter. Jay Jaffee of Sports So Estimated. Hey Jay. Hey, good to be here.

So most of you are listening to this on Monday. Tomorrow is the day when the Hall of Fame voting

results will be announced. The votes have already been submitted. So somewhere in the depths of the

BBWA, they are now being tabulated presumably. So looking at the information we have the various

sources that have compiled all the public votes and just the sense that you're getting from people

who aren't saying what do you expect that we will see on Tuesday? Boy, I think we're going to get

a bounty of Hall of Famers. And I think at the very least we're going to get three. And it's

quite possible that we get four. And boy, if you look at the public ballot tracker, I don't think

it's out of the question that we could even get five, which would be miraculous if that happened.

But at the very least, I think we're almost certainly going to get three, which would be the first time

since 1954 or 1955 that we've had at least three in back to back years.

And there's usually a pretty big gap for some of these candidates between the pre-release exit

poll numbers and the actual one. So right now, Mike Piazza is just tracking above the 75% threshold.

So he might not make it BGO is maybe out of the danger zone or he's close to...

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