Effectively Wild Episode 451: Cueto, Greinke, and Green Lights
Effectively Wild: A FanGraphs Baseball Podcast
Ben Lindbergh, Meg Rowley
4.7 • 2.7K Ratings
🗓️ 16 May 2014
⏱️ 44 minutes
🧾️ Download transcript
Summary
Ben and Sam reach into the topic grab bag and discuss Johnny Cueto, Zack Greinke, when to give hitters green lights, and more.
Transcript
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| 0:00.0 | I sing for free |
| 0:18.8 | Good morning and welcome to episode 451 of Effectively Wild, the Daily Podcasts from |
| 0:24.3 | Baseball Perspectus presented by the BaseballReference.com Play Index. |
| 0:28.8 | I'm Ben Lindbergh, joined as always by Sam Miller. I have no particular topic today. I have |
| 0:34.8 | many topics that are worthy of a few minutes of discussion and no topics that are worthy of |
| 0:40.6 | half an hour of discussion. So we will string some of them together and see how it goes. I think |
| 0:46.8 | but did you want to start with something? I do want to start with something. Okay. |
| 0:50.4 | In reference to our conversation about 3.0 swinging. Yes, I was going to ask you about that. |
| 0:55.1 | A few days ago, I saw today the most, to me it was the most remarkable statistic. I didn't know |
| 1:01.6 | it before. So I'm going to tell you and now you'll know it. And I'm fairly certain that you |
| 1:07.5 | wouldn't have guessed this. But 3.0 swings. Let's see. If I'm understanding this correctly, |
| 1:19.8 | this is according to Chris Moran of Beyond the Box score. It was just from a few weeks ago. |
| 1:25.3 | According to Chris, if I'm reading this chart right, 28% of 3.0 swings are on pitches outside |
| 1:34.0 | the strike zone. That's incredible. That's incredible. That's incredible. Isn't that incredible? |
| 1:46.2 | Yeah. I'm sure a lot of them are in in-ch outside the strike zone. But even so. |
| 1:51.0 | I mean, everybody said you should be key-holing it. You should only be looking for a pitch that's |
| 1:57.5 | dead red. You only want a perfect pitch on 3.0 otherwise you shouldn't swing. |
| 2:04.7 | I guess there are pitches outside the strike zone that are super hittable. But usually, |
| 2:09.7 | there are off-speed pitches. Usually it's a breaking ball that's an inch high. It might be incredibly |
| 2:14.3 | hittable. But it's hard to imagine a fastball that's outside the strike zone anywhere that would |
| 2:20.5 | be an ideal pitch to hit, right? Yeah, right. And you and I often talk about how maybe people |
| 2:27.4 | overrate pitchers command and their ability to actually hit their spots. And it seems like |
... |
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