Effectively Wild Episode 236: Analysts as General Managers/Hall of Fame Probabilities

Effectively Wild: A FanGraphs Baseball Podcast

Ben Lindbergh, Meg Rowley

Sports, Baseball

4.8 • 2.6K Ratings

🗓️ 2 July 2013

⏱️ 39 minutes

🔗️ Recording | iTunes | RSS

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Ben and Sam discuss whether hardcore quantitative analysts make good GM material, then estimate the likelihood that under-30 players will make the Hall of Fame.

Transcript

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0:00.0	Ben. 0.05 is actually one in 2000.
0:05.0	Yes, that is correct, and I'm going to correct my estimate of 0.05 to 0.02,
0:13.0	so that is now one in 5,000 again.
0:15.5	Sounds fair.
0:16.5	Okay.
0:18.0	Good morning, and welcome to the latest episode of Effectively Wild,
0:23.0	the Daily Podcast from baseballperspectus.com.
0:26.0	It is episode 236.
0:29.0	Good cover.
0:30.0	Good cover.
0:31.0	Thank you.
0:32.0	Nobody spotted that.
0:33.0	I'm Sam Miller with Ben Lindbergh, and Ben yesterday I was listening to my favorite sports
0:39.0	podcast, Hang Up and Listen, and they were talking about the Aaron Hernandez stuff.
0:45.0	Uh-huh.
0:46.0	Are you aware of Aaron Hernandez?
0:48.0	Yeah, I've heard.
0:49.0	Football player.
0:50.0	Heard a bit about it.
0:51.0	Yes.
0:52.0	Potential murder.
0:53.0	Yes.
	...

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