Effectively Wild Episode 191: The Significance of the Blue Jays’ Slow Start/Justin Upton and Internet Gloating

Effectively Wild: A FanGraphs Baseball Podcast

Ben Lindbergh, Meg Rowley

Sports, Baseball

4.8 • 2.6K Ratings

🗓️ 29 April 2013

⏱️ 27 minutes

🔗️ Recording | iTunes | RSS

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Ben and Sam discuss how deep a hole the Blue Jays have dug, then talk about whether it’s fair for people to gloat about the Diamondbacks’ decision to trade Justin Upton based on what’s happened so far this season.

Transcript

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0:00.0	Um, this is what I like to call my Told You So Dance.
0:03.8	Uh, Told You So, I Told You So, I Told You So, I Told You So, I Told You So, I Told You So, I Told You So, I Told You So, I Told You So, I Told You So, I Told you.
0:11.7	Good morning and welcome to Episode 191 of Effectively Wilds, the Daily Podcasts from Baseball Perspectus.com. I'm Sam Miller, and with Ben Linberg, Ben, how are you doing?
0:22.5	I'm well. How was your trip?
0:25.0	It was okay. What did you guys talk about?
0:28.0	Oh, man. I don't know. We talked about, so you have not caught up on the podcast yet,
0:34.6	is what you're telling me. I'm still I'm still listening to them in order. I'm still at like
0:41.3	episode 94. I'll get there. Well, we talked about Chad Billingsley and Elbow injuries with
0:48.6	Corey Dawkins. And we talked about the Mariners and and Brendan Ryan being benched
0:55.2	with Paul Spor and then on Friday, I talked to Will Woods about the Metz and I Davis and
1:04.8	whether there are any prospects that you would trade straight up or that you wouldn't trade
1:09.5	straight up for Stanton. Like a single prospect in one prospect? Yes, we were riffing on a note
1:17.6	in a in a Jason Stark article where he yeah, yeah, he the the Metz the Wheeler and and Tarno
1:24.1	and the GM GM, who's that it'd be he would he was one of them. He was an NL exact.
1:29.3	NL exact. This is so beautiful. Yeah, you know, I wrote that piece about six months ago about
1:35.5	that I don't know. It wasn't even six months ago. It was maybe four months ago about the GMs that
1:39.9	Jerry Crasnick talks to every offseason who make predictions for him on who's going to sign where
1:46.2	and who's like a better who's a better player between you know, two sort of similar free agents
1:51.1	and found that they have like a like almost exactly a 50% success rate in predicting things that
1:56.4	should be coin flips. So I don't know what that says because I do assume the GMs are smarter than
2:02.8	us and yet there's something about asking people to make predictions that makes them us. I don't
2:10.0	know so wrong. I don't know if they're sabotaging themselves or what but if it I mean if a GM
	...

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