Good morning and welcome to episode 174 of Effectively Wild, the daily podcast from baseball

perspective in New York, New York. Oh, no, I said it. I said where I am. I'm Ben

Lindbergh in an undisclosed location is Sam Miller. Lead with the email address, Ben.

Lead with the email address. Okay. All right. Our email address is podcast at baseballperspectus.com.

If we were any other podcast, this is when we would tell you to rate and review us on iTunes and tell

you where you can follow us on Twitter and all of those things. And we would talk about the

Facebook group that we do not have. It's been 74 episodes since we plugged. Yeah. I like every

name because I look at how many iTunes reviews and ratings we have. And it is a very, very small

fraction of the people who listen to us every day. And I feel like maybe a few more of those people

could just go over there and, you know, tell people about us. So yeah, that would be nice if you

could do that. So we are going to continue our confirmation bias week. We're going to talk about

some things that have happened that maybe we expected to happen. And so they seem to assume

some added significance because they are the first thing that we are seeing certain players and

teams do. So do you want to lead off with one? Yeah. Should we, I mean, should we have some sort of

disclaimer that we recognize that what we're doing is just confirmation bias and that we don't

necessarily think that there is anything actually significant about this stuff? I mean,

okay, good. I mean, so maybe there is in some cases, we'll see. Yeah, but that's the point is

that there's not, right? I mean, the point is that some things there will be and some things

there won't be, but there's not like a systematic way that these first few days are more significant.

That's like the entire point of the phrase. All right. So I wanted to mention the royals

who are kind of losing in exactly the way that people predicted they would lose after they made

their big, we're going to win trade. They got a really good start at a James Shields yesterday.

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