Effectively Wild Episode 1497: Season Preview Series: Padres and White Sox
Effectively Wild: A FanGraphs Baseball Podcast
Ben Lindbergh, Meg Rowley
4.7 • 2.7K Ratings
🗓️ 7 February 2020
⏱️ 95 minutes
🧾️ Download transcript
Summary

Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller banter about probability, the baseball significance of a Super Bowl comeback, and whether win expectancy stats are more useful for fans during or after a game (featuring a cameo from Meg Rowley, who sort of settles the debate). Then Ben and Sam preview the 2020 Padres with MLB.com’s AJ Cassavell (23:47), and the 2020 White Sox (58:32) with The Athletic’s James Fegan.
Audio intro: Tall Tall Trees, "Expectations"
Audio interstitial 1: The Cranberries, "Chocolate Brown"
Audio interstitial 2: Bombadil, "Goodwill Socks"
Audio outro: Super Furry Animals, "White Socks/Flip Flops"
Link to FiveThirtyEight tweet
Link to ESPN’s Super Bowl win probability graph
Link to Ben Clemens on Tatis’ defense
Link to James on the evolution of White Sox player development
Link to BP roundtable on Madrigal
Link to order The MVP Machine
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Transcript
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| 0:00.0 | I'm giving up on my expectations, let them go and see where it tastes |
| 0:13.2 | I've got the time and I don't mind reading, just tied up in disbelief |
| 0:20.2 | I just want to wake up in the morning for the sun and thank the gods for the gifts |
| 0:30.2 | that I remember, we came up the pieces where they fill on the floor |
| 0:34.2 | I don't want to worry, I don't want to worry |
| 0:38.2 | Good morning and welcome to episode 14, 97 of Effectively Wild |
| 0:42.2 | The baseball podcast, Fangrips.com brought to you by our Patreon supporters |
| 0:47.2 | I'm Sam Miller of ESPN along with Ben Lundberger, the Ringer, Hello Ben |
| 0:51.2 | Hello, so today we are doing a team preview podcast |
| 0:55.2 | and we'll be talking a little later on in the episode two James Fegan |
| 0:59.2 | who covers the White Sucks for the Athletic and just a moment we'll be talking to |
| 1:03.2 | AJ Casavelle who covers the Padres for MLP.com |
| 1:07.2 | and we're gonna do a team fun draft or a fun team draft |
| 1:11.2 | just before her opening day again and I would guess that these two teams |
| 1:15.2 | that we're talking about today will end up pretty high in the fun team draft |
| 1:19.2 | but we shall see. I feel like one of them will and one of them will |
| 1:23.2 | and I think one of them will overrated fun lives. |
| 1:27.2 | Oh really, okay well save that for next month when we get to the draft |
| 1:31.2 | so just one quick thing I wanted to say I don't know whether you watched the Super Bowl |
| 1:35.2 | or followed the Super Bowl at all last weekend I didn't really closely |
| 1:39.2 | but it came to my attention because there was this infamous tweet |
| 1:43.2 | that was sent I believe by 538 about the win probability |
... |
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