If I'm even smaller than you're right, I guess you're right.

If I wake up in your mind, I guess you're right.

If I sink into your sleep and lay guilty, I guess you're right.

If I never let you go, I know you so and so right.

Hello and welcome to episode 1288 of Effectively Wild, a baseball podcast from Fangras presented by our Patreon supporters.

I am Ben Lindbergh of the Winger joined by Jeff Sullivan of Fangras Hello.

Hello.

We've had no baseball played since we last spoke, so no new baseball to talk about.

So we're going to take this opportunity to answer some emails, which we haven't done for a while,

but I wrote something that I mentioned yesterday I would want to banter a brat briefly.

And it's about second guessing and about second guessing in this era when teams are smart for the most part,

particularly playoff teams and they know in general a lot more about the things that we are second guessing them about.

So what I was curious about was there been so many times in these playoffs where we've wondered,

why is this guy starting?

Why isn't that guy starting?

Why wasn't this guy pinching?

Why bring in that picture there?

And you figure there's probably usually more to the story that we can see.

And so I reached out to a bunch of front office people and I asked I tried to get a sense of what the state of batter picture projections is matchup projections in baseball right now.

And it sounds like it's an area where there's been a lot of work done in the last few years and some advances made.

So when you and I try to project how a given matchup will go, I mean, public projection systems are not set up to do this really.

We have your basic steamers and zips and pacotas and they give us an estimate of each players true talent,

...