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Effectively Wild: A FanGraphs Baseball Podcast

Effectively Wild Episode 122: PECOTA Projects Elite Draft Picks from the Past/Should Scouts Fear FIELDf/x?

Effectively Wild: A FanGraphs Baseball Podcast

Ben Lindbergh, Meg Rowley

Sports, Baseball

4.82.6K Ratings

🗓️ 18 January 2013

⏱️ 22 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Ben and Sam discuss PECOTA’s projections for top draft picks from 2007 and talk about whether FIELDf/x and comparable technologies will ever pose a threat to scouts.

Transcript

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0:00.0

Hi, hello, who's doing the intro today? I guess I will. We didn't discuss it

0:16.6

beforehand. This is episode 122 of Effectively Wild, the baseball

0:22.2

perspective daily podcast. In New York, New York, I am Ben Lindbergh, and in Long Beach,

0:28.7

California, you are Sam Miller. Are you still in the Honda Fit these days, or have

0:33.5

you migrated? I haven't been in the Honda Fit in probably a month and a half. Yeah,

0:40.2

I didn't think so. I guess I can hear traffic noise in the distance. I just sit on

0:46.8

the stoop now. Well, I hope you move back indoors once the crickets come back. Like indoors

0:55.1

in my house? Oh, you mean indoors back into the Honda Fit? Yes. We have a topic. It is not

1:03.2

timely. It is not topical, but it's a topic. So we're going to talk about a Nate Silver

1:13.5

article from 2008, pre-2008 election, Nate Silver, who was at the time projecting pitching

1:23.2

prospects for baseball perspectives. And he predicted, I guess it was all of the pictures

1:30.8

selected in the first round. Is that right? No, well, no. What we're, I guess what we're

1:36.3

looking at, if you're looking at the thing that I'm looking at, it's Pacota's for players

1:40.8

with no professional playing time. So basically, this was 2008, June 5th, 2008. And I believe

1:46.8

these are the 2007 draft picks, who I guess who had not played when the 2008 season began.

2:00.2

So you know, like the David Rice class, I'm sorry, the David Price class of draft picks,

2:06.6

the ones who didn't play that summer. So the players are David Price, Mike Misakis, Josh

2:13.6

Fitters, Daniel Moscos, Matt Wheaters, Ross Debtweiler, Matt Laporta, Casey Weathers,

2:19.1

Jared Parker, Madison Bumgarner, and Rick Porcelo, which is a pretty good group of players.

2:25.7

Still going with Porcelo, huh? Oh, sorry, forgot. Poor, poor sellout. Yes, Doug Thorburn

2:31.7

clarified for us from the Bill James Handbook, which apparently has a pronunciation guide

2:36.4

that it is poor sellout. Anyway, continue. Uh, that's all, that's all I got. So Nate projected

...

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