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Effectively Wild: A FanGraphs Baseball Podcast

Effectively Wild Episode 1120: Back-to-Back-to-Back-to-Back Baseball

Effectively Wild: A FanGraphs Baseball Podcast

Ben Lindbergh, Meg Rowley

Sports, Baseball

4.82.6K Ratings

🗓️ 6 October 2017

⏱️ 50 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Ben Lindbergh and Jeff Sullivan banter about the larger improbability and significance of Archie Bradley’s triple in the NL wild-card game, how to experience a four-playoff-game day, the first games of both AL division series, Chris Sale’s and Masahiro Tanaka’s semi-struggles and the vexing nature of pitcher home-run allowance, the danger of using home/road splits […]

Transcript

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0:00.0

Now I'm way down the line.

0:06.0

Yes, you're gone, but you're still on my mind.

0:14.0

Blow it, blow.

0:20.0

So my heart can let the phone explode.

0:24.0

Hello and welcome to episode 1,120 of Effectively Wild, a very private conversation between myself.

0:32.0

The Lindbergh that is recorded for public consumption is a hangar, baseball, podcast, brought to you by our innumerable Patreon supporters.

0:40.0

They are matched in number only by their loyalty, the two of us.

0:44.0

Yep, and for that I wish to express my tremendous appreciation to you.

0:48.0

And do I? If you're out there on the fence, then you should probably be a Patreon's supporter because we just, I don't know, we love them more.

0:56.0

You know, you're not supposed to pick your favorite kids, but when your favorite kids give you money that just kind of swing the odds in their favor a little bit.

1:04.0

I guess we're going to find out pretty soon whether we're going to redo this beginning or not, but in any case, this is Friday morning.

1:11.0

And we have seen the playoffs begin. We will watch very shortly the playoffs resume before we get to that.

1:19.0

I just want to mention something that I was not aware of and that will become inevitably the subject of a post in November or December or January or February.

1:26.0

So the other day, as mentioned on this podcast, at least five, maybe six times, are to Bradley hit a triple.

1:31.0

Are to Bradley hit a triple. It was according to win expectancy, the biggest event of the Diamondbacks Rockies and a Wildcard playoff.

1:39.0

It moved the win expectancy 16 percentage points. That's a lot. Good triple for Archie Bradley, who it turns out has been one of the worst hitters in baseball, even among pitchers.

1:49.0

And he hit the triple off of Pat Nyshek, who has been one of the best pitchers against right-handed batters over the course of his major league career.

1:58.0

So improbable triple anyway, even without knowing those splits, you can, I think you already know, pitcher triples are rare.

2:06.0

So even if you did another splits, I think everyone would have an understanding that pitcher triples are rare for reasons that you can imagine.

2:12.0

Here's something I didn't know. Okay, so this season in the regular season, there were seven pitcher triples. Maybe you knew this bend. Maybe you didn't.

2:19.0

I'm just going to read from the bottom. Tied for second place, Jeremy Helixon, one triple, Patrick Corbin, one triple, Jake Arietta, one triple.

2:29.0

First place, Luis Pernomo, four triples. Did you know I did not know. Yeah, right. Who knew? Luis Pernomo, he, he pitches for the pogries by the way.

...

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