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The Peter Schiff Show Podcast

Economy is Weakening But at Least the Cost of Living is Rising – Ep. 63

The Peter Schiff Show Podcast

Peter Schiff

Business News, Business, Investing, News, Politics

4.65.9K Ratings

🗓️ 25 March 2015

⏱️ 24 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary


* Bad economic news coming in is more a deluge than a trickle
* Dollar continuing to drift lower since "patience" was removed
* New Zealand Dollar record high against the euro and the Australian dollar
* New Zealand enjoys a strong currency, economic growth, low inflation and low unemployment
* Swiss franc had a strong day today
* Chicago Fed National Activity Index revised down to -.11
* Three consecutive months of declining numbers
* Deteriorating numbers reflect pattern similar to pre-QE3 months
* Existing home sales number below estimates
* February new home sales up, however
* Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index -8, twice as low as most negative forecast. declining 4 times in 5 months
* CPI came in at .2%, exactly as expected; core up to 1.7
* Price of ground beef up 19.2%, at a record high
* The jobs numbers are a lagging indicator
* We are likely to see a jobs number downturn based on less optimistic assumptions
* Weaker jobs number will keep rates low
* The only thing that might drive rates higher is inflation, but goal of "medium term" is vague
* Weaker economy and higher inflation will cause dollar to drop
* When inflation is the only focus, it will be obvious that the Fed cannot raise rates, driving dollar down
* A currency crisis will finally force the Fed to raise rates
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Transcript

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0:00.0

about Peter Schiff's show.

0:08.8

Well I'm probably starting to sound like a bit of a broken record, constantly going over

0:13.5

all of the bad economic news that continues to trickle in, although now it's more of a

0:20.1

deluge than a trickle.

0:22.4

But every day we get news, it tends to be bad news.

0:25.6

And I guess at the risk of beating a dead horse, I'm going to go over some of the new

0:30.5

pieces of bad news that should be weighing much more heavily on the markets than they

0:36.7

are.

0:38.4

Although the dollar has been continuing to drift lower ever since Janet Yellen removed

0:45.0

the word patience last week and inserted a more patient attitude, even though the word

0:51.4

is not there.

0:52.6

I have a new commentary out on the website today, given the old razzle dazzle in which I

1:01.4

wrote something now about the Fed.

1:04.2

And of course I recorded my last podcast on that and we have a video blog on the topic.

1:11.8

So plenty of coverage for me on the Fed.

1:16.5

But since then the dollar has continued to go down.

1:19.0

It actually made new post patient removal lows across the board this morning, but the dollar

1:27.4

rallied back.

1:28.4

And so it managed to recoup its losses.

1:30.9

It finished a little bit positive against some currency, slightly negative.

1:35.6

But we really saw some strength in the Australian New Zealand dollar, fact in New Zealand dollar,

1:42.5

this week hit a record high, not only against the euro, but an all-time record.

...

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