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Wall Street Breakfast

Economic growth surges in Q3

Wall Street Breakfast

Seeking Alpha

Business News, News, Business, Investing

4.11K Ratings

🗓️ 26 October 2023

⏱️ 7 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

GDP rose 4.9% annually, trouncing forecasts. (0:15) Treasury market looks to be warming up to a soft landing scenario. (2:38) Bill Ackman made $200 million on his bond short. (4:53)

Episode transcripts seekingalpha.com/wsb.
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Show Notes
Boomer stocks are a better buy than Millennial stocks – BofA
Comcast sees Q3 boost from theme parks, broadband
Durable goods orders rise more than expected in September


Transcript

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0:00.0

Welcome to Seeking Alpha's Wall Street Lunch, our afternoon update on today's market action news and analysis.

0:10.0

Good afternoon. Today is Thursday, October 26th I'm your host Kim Khan. Our top story so far.

0:16.8

What recession? Third quarter growth in the US came in sharply higher for the previous

0:21.0

quarter and well above expectations. That had investors

0:24.3

warming up to the potential of a soft landing. Q3 GDP rose at an annual rate of

0:29.8

4.9%, higher than the 4.2% expected, and powering up from the 2.1% advance in Q2.

0:37.0

It was the strongest quarter since Q4 2021.

0:40.0

I.N.G called it stellar growth driven by consumer and government spending.

0:45.2

They note that household spending grew 4% with expenditure on durable goods looking particularly

0:50.1

strong at 7.6%. Services were softer at 3.6%, but there is still broad

0:56.2

strength here with Taylor Swift, Beyonce, and Barbie all playing their part,

1:00.3

selling out venues, boosting a hotel occupancy, and restaurant and bar spending wherever

1:05.0

they went.

1:06.0

September durable goods orders also trounced expectations, with a headline up 4.7 percent

1:11.3

versus forecasts for a rise of just 1.7%.

1:15.0

Pantheon macros Ian Shepardson says the Durables leap is largely due to the 131%

1:20.2

surge in civilian aircraft orders.

1:22.4

In particular, reflecting huge order for Boeing

1:24.8

aircraft by Ryanair. But with X Transport and Corax aircraft also beating estimates, the big

1:30.8

picture is that the normalization in orders after they collapse during COVID is largely complete.

1:36.0

The boom times are likely to last though.

1:39.0

ING says real household disposable income is flatlining, savings are being run down, and

...

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