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Dunc'd On Basketball NBA Podcast

Eastern Conference Over/Unders 2022-23

Dunc'd On Basketball NBA Podcast

Nate Duncan

Sports

4.62.9K Ratings

🗓️ 29 September 2022

⏱️ 93 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

We take a look at some of the big themes we think will affect this regular season before diving in to the Eastern Conference Over/Unders. It seems like the league is more talented than ever, but a lot of talented teams have questionable fits.

Transcript

Click on a timestamp to play from that location

0:00.0

Oh man, Danny, I am embarrassed to even be showing my face in this space again after my

0:06.8

future performance for last year's overrunners. I cautioned before the season that

0:12.6

I was going to be so hard and you know, there could be COVID absences and this is going to be our

0:18.9

first A2 game season in three years and how our team is going to treat the regular season

0:23.6

here. No way of knowing there's all these injury absences. Those are bullshit excuses. Vegas

0:28.0

got it better than I did. Better than we did, although you did better than me. Do we do better this

0:32.5

year? Let's hope. Well, so I'll explain briefly part of the exercise that I wanted to do this year.

0:40.3

I don't know how much of this will go into on every team, but basically I wanted to try to quantify

0:44.3

like how good were these teams actually last year? Like you know, and so that's not only the record

0:49.0

and the differential, but also were they unusually healthy, were they lucky or unlucky in terms of

0:53.3

opponent shooting, and then you know like how much did the roster shift? Because I think that's kind

0:56.8

of like those are the two big pieces of the puzzle and you could add in you know coaching changes

1:00.3

with the different things that happened there for specific circumstances because in other

1:04.6

years sometimes what we've done well is the difference between a team's previous record and their

1:10.6

actual performance. And I actually think you know, looking through the lines problemarily, I think

1:15.0

Vegas actually did a much better job on that this year, which sucks for us, but that's okay. Well,

1:19.3

they apparently did a better job last year than we thought. I mean also I think it's worth noting to

1:24.4

that last year saw an inordinate number of massive surprises and disappointments. I mean the team

1:30.4

that I picked to win the West and have the second best record in the West didn't even make the

1:36.1

play in the Lakers. Not so much the playoffs. Brooklyn was the favorite in the East by everybody,

1:40.4

the championship fair by everybody. They were in the play in and got swept in the first round. It

1:45.6

Memphis came absolutely out of nowhere. Cleveland was one of the biggest surprise teams that we've

...

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