E71: Russia/Ukraine deep dive: escalation, risk factors, financial fallout, exit ramps and more

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg

All-In Podcast, LLC

Business, Technology, Entrepreneurship

4.0 • 10.4K Ratings

🗓️ 5 March 2022

⏱️ 96 minutes

🔗️ Recording | iTunes | RSS

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

0:00 David Sacks: Man for the people

0:50 Escalating tensions over Russia/Ukraine; nuclear scare; evolving forms of warfare

16:27 Assessing impact of economic sanctions: first, second and third-order effects; exit ramps for Putin and Russia

34:23 Reflecting on if taking NATO expansion off the table would have prevented war; Putin's risk of ruin; lessons learned so far

46:12 New version of economic warfare; possibility of a regime change; comparisons to the Cuban Missile Crisis; realist vs. idealist; lessons for Taiwan

1:05:22 Market impact, increased volatility, thinking in decades, managing risk

1:19:22 Car T-cell therapy breakthroughs and approvals; CRISPR patent controversy; Sacks makes a final point

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https://twitter.com/chamath

https://linktr.ee/calacanis

https://twitter.com/DavidSacks

https://twitter.com/friedberg

Follow the pod:

https://twitter.com/theallinpod

https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast

Intro Music Credit:

https://rb.gy/tppkzl

https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg

Intro Video Credit:

https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect

Referenced in the show:

https://twitter.com/phildstewart/status/1499535843207389186

https://www.onmanorama.com/news/world/2022/03/04/garry-kasparov-former-world-chess-champion-attacks-russian-president-vladimir-putin-ukraine-invasion-twitter.html

https://www.express.co.uk/news/world/1574056/world-war-3-russia-ukraine-vladimir-putin-fiona-hill-us-national-security-council

https://www.reuters.com/business/aerospace-defense/nato-meets-ukraine-calls-no-fly-zone-hinder-russia-2022-03-04

https://twitter.com/TimothyDSnyder/status/1499587642115117059

https://www.nytimes.com/2022/03/02/opinion/ukraine-russia-war-zelensky.html

https://www.google.com/finance/quote/LUKOY:OTCMKTS

https://oec.world/en/profile/hs92/wheat

https://twitter.com/balajis/status/1498873063378612227

https://twitter.com/LindseyGrahamSC/status/1499574209567199235

https://www.nytimes.com/2022/03/04/world/europe/lindsey-graham-putin-russia.html

https://twitter.com/biancoresearch/status/1499385705591709698

https://www.politico.eu/article/ukraine-war-russia-germany-still-blocking-arms-supplies/

https://www.reuters.com/business/aerospace-defense/germany-hike-defense-spending-scholz-says-further-policy-shift-2022-02-27/

https://www.reuters.com/business/sustainable-business/germany-aims-get-100-energy-renewable-sources-by-2035-2022-02-28/

https://www.nytimes.com/2022/02/28/world/europe/switzerland-russian-assets-freeze.html

https://www.thedefensepost.com/2022/02/28/sweden-arms-ukraine/

https://www.nato.int/docu/update/2008/04-april/e0403h.html

https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2016-election/biography-george-h-w-bush-slams-iron-ass-cheney-rumsfeld-n457911

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JrMiSQAGOS4

https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/NY.GDP.MKTP.CD?locations=RU

https://twitter.com/shellenbergermd/status/1499386637066727424

https://bariweiss.substack.com/p/the-wests-green-delusions-empowered?s=r

https://www.npr.org/2022/03/04/1084580235/russia-blocks-facebook-twitter

https://www.nytimes.com/2022/03/03/technology/ukraine-war-misinfo.html

https://twitter.com/Ukraine/status/1497834538843660291

https://www.indiatoday.in/fact-check/story/fact-check-russia-ukraine-war-old-woman-not-giving-invading-russian-soldiers-the-finger-1920479-2022-03-04

https://twitter.com/chamath/status/1496998762496946203

https://twitter.com/morganhousel/status/1499484089082007552

https://www.reuters.com/markets/europe/euro-pinned-war-stokes-stagflation-fears-2022-03-03/

https://twitter.com/zekejmiller/status/1499739582115553281

https://www.nbcchicago.com/news/national-international/wheat-corn-prices-surge-amid-russias-invasion-of-ukraine/2774260/

https://www.myelomacrowd.org/janssen-s-cilta-cel-car-t-receives-fda-approval-for-relapsed-multiple-myeloma/

https://www.reuters.com/business/healthcare-pharmaceuticals/fda-approves-jjs-cell-based-multiple-myeloma-therapy-blood-cancer-treatment-wsj-2022-03-01/

https://www.fiercebiotech.com/research/a2-bios-activator-blocker-car-t-cell-therapies-show-early-promise-solid-cancers

https://www.wsj.com/articles/crispr-patent-gene-editing-dispute-11646187911

https://twitter.com/MZHemingway/status/1499588624664657926

Transcript

Click on a timestamp to play from that location

0:00.0	Dude, Sacks, I love that look. Look at that shirt.
0:02.4	Look at that, man.
0:03.3	Is it too noisy for a podcast?
0:04.9	No, you look very relatable.
0:06.1	You're like an American man, just like at home doing stuff.
0:09.9	Is he trying to go full Tucker on us?
0:12.1	It is a really, really horrendous shirt that you're wearing.
0:14.6	That is a horrible, I mean, that was the same shirt Tucker
0:17.3	were wearing last week.
0:18.3	Oh my God, Sacks is going to be so appealing
0:20.0	to Middle America right now.
0:21.0	He's like, absolutely, look, he's going for the every man.
0:23.4	He's an every man. He doesn't have a blazer on.
0:25.0	Trying to get the purple pills.
0:26.5	Are you going to go chop wood with Tucker?
0:28.2	Yeah.
0:29.2	I may not be a man of the people, but I do try to be a man for the people.
0:33.0	What?
0:34.0	You're like your winners, right?
0:38.0	Rainman David Sacks.
0:41.5	And I said we open source into the fans and they just go crazy.
0:45.9	What a nice, clean up kid.
	...

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