Dollar Strength Defies U.S. Economic and Stock Market Weakness – Ep. 61
The Peter Schiff Show Podcast
Peter Schiff
4.6 • 5.9K Ratings
🗓️ 14 March 2015
⏱️ 24 minutes
🧾️ Download transcript
Summary
* The Foreign exchange markets continue to ignore the darkening U.S. economic picture
* Dollar had best two-week gain since the financial crisis of 2008
* Market exuberance based solely on the jobs report which is an outlier among all other negative news
* Why aren't the jobs numbers being questioned?
* We have had three consecutive months of declining retail sales
* Falling prices are reflecting a lack of demand
* The stock market has begun to decline, bracing for Fed rate hikes
* Gold held steady against the dollar; up against other currencies
* Inventory to sales ratio lowest since 2008
* This week the Atlanta Fed reduced Q1 GDP down to .6%
* The second revision for Q4 could be below 2%
* Poor GDP numbers already being blamed on the weather
* Europe looked to US QE as a success because inflation was masked
* The European market is already issuing negative bonds in anticipation of ECB purchase (QE)
* The Germans are going to push back when they see inflation
* At lease Europe will be able to withstand higher rates because of smaller debt and trade deficit
* U.S. won't be able to tolerate the consequences of rate hikes which would ultEimately heal the economy
* Therefore inevitable QE4 will be even larger than QE 1,2 & 3 combined
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Transcript
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| 0:00.0 | about Peter Schiff's show. |
| 0:08.8 | Well, the foreign exchange markets continue to ignore the darkening economic picture here |
| 0:15.0 | in the United States. |
| 0:16.0 | The dollar enjoyed, I think, one of its best weekly gains in years. |
| 0:21.8 | In fact, it's the best, I think, two-week gain for the US dollar index since the financial |
| 0:29.0 | crisis of 2008. |
| 0:32.1 | I keep hearing people talk about, well, we can ignore all this bad economic data because |
| 0:40.1 | we've got the jobs report. |
| 0:42.2 | The jobs report is strong. |
| 0:44.9 | Therefore, the economy must be strong and we can ignore all of the economic data that |
| 0:52.6 | suggests that the economy is weak because after all, the jobs report says that it's strong. |
| 0:58.6 | So it seems to me, and I've said this before, that the jobs numbers look like the outlier. |
| 1:04.8 | When all the other data is bad, when all the other data says white and the jobs data |
| 1:10.4 | says black, why isn't it that people aren't questioning the validity of the jobs numbers? |
| 1:15.8 | And saying, let's ignore all the other numbers and just focus on this one because this is the |
| 1:19.9 | one that we like. |
| 1:21.4 | Instead of looking deeper beneath the surface of the one that you like, let's say, wait a |
| 1:25.6 | minute. |
| 1:26.6 | Maybe the jobs isn't telling the entire story. |
| 1:29.9 | When we have all this other data that's coming out so weak, maybe it's the job data that's |
| 1:36.3 | not painting an accurate picture, maybe there's something else going on. |
| 1:40.0 | And I've pointed this out many times about what is wrong with the jobs number and why there's |
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