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The Peter Schiff Show Podcast

Does The Silver Market See What The Atlanta Fed Missed? – Ep. 159

The Peter Schiff Show Podcast

Peter Schiff

Business News, Business, Investing, News, Politics

4.65.9K Ratings

🗓️ 15 April 2016

⏱️ 28 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary


* This is another week of bad economic data that most people have ignored
* The stock market was up this week; the Dow closed up 1.8% on the year
* I don't know if the Dow was rising in spite the bad news or because of it
* The bad news means the economy is weak and corporate earnings are not there, and there are high multiples
* But of course, if the economy is weak, that takes the Fed out of the rate hiking game and I think puts it into the rate cutting - QE4 game
* So the market is caught between the opposing forces of cheap money and falling earnings on the back of a weak economy
* Gold was actually down on the week; it started off the week strong, then Thursday it got hit pretty good and today it recouped some of its losses
* But the standout was silver
*  Silver was up almost 6% on the week; this is a new high
* Silver closed at the highest close of the year
* In fact, silver was strong with gold on Monday and Tuesday and when gold sold off on Wednesday and Thursday, silver really held up
* That's a good sign for both gold and silver
* I was on CNBC.com this week and I meant to say something about silver
* They're not even talking about silver in the mainstream media so they're missing an even bigger move
* They're acknowledging that gold's going up but they're not even looking at silver
* I mentioned on an earlier podcast that a number of people are shorting silver and buying gold because they saw the breakout to new highs on the gold/silver ratio and they wanted to jump on that trad
* I thought that was the wrong thing to do
* To me, seeing new highs in that ratio in favor of silver made me want to buy silver, since it's as cheap as it's been relative to gold
* If you like gold, just buy it; don't short silver because you could turn a winning trade into a losing trade

 

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Transcript

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0:00.0

Well, this was another week of generally bad economic data coming out that most people

0:14.4

have ignored.

0:15.4

You know, the stock market was up again this week, the Dow.

0:18.2

I think closed on a new weekly high for the year 2016.

0:22.5

It was up about 1.8% on the year.

0:24.8

I don't know if the Dow is rising despite the bad news or because of the bad news.

0:31.0

Because the bad news means the economy is weak and corporate earnings are not going to

0:34.9

be there.

0:35.9

You've got high multiples.

0:36.9

So, disappointing earnings are bad for stocks.

0:40.2

But of course, if the economy is weak, that takes the Fed out of the rate hiking game.

0:44.8

And I think puts it into the rate cutting QE4 game.

0:48.5

And of course, that is bullish for stocks.

0:50.7

Under the market is caught between those opposing forces of cheap money, lifting it up,

0:56.4

but falling earnings on the back of a weakening economy, pushing it down.

1:00.9

Gold was actually down on the week.

1:02.4

I think about five or six bucks, not a big decline.

1:05.0

You know, it started off the week strong.

1:07.3

And then Wednesday, it got hit pretty good on Thursday, rather Wednesday went down and

1:11.4

Thursday was a bigger day down than today.

1:13.7

It recouped some of the losses.

1:15.2

But the standout was silver because silver was up almost 6% on the week.

...

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