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The Rundown by PoliticsHome

Does the OBR really run Britain?

The Rundown by PoliticsHome

PoliticsHome

News, Politics

4.1105 Ratings

🗓️ 31 October 2025

⏱️ 46 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

With the Autumn Budget looming, this week The Rundown takes a look at one of the key players in shaping the government’s fiscal policy, but one that we know little about. 


The forecast on the future health of the British economy delivered to Rachel Reeves by the Office for Budget Responsibility will have more impact on shaping what the Chancellor announces next month than almost anything else, but who are the unelected panjandrums who sit on the independent body known as the OBR, how reliable are their economic estimations, and why do they hold so much sway over the Treasury?


Joining host Alain Tolhurst to discuss whether the OBR really runs Britain, and if it needs reform, or perhaps abolition all together as some have suggested, is the Conservative former Chancellor Jeremy Hunt, and Ben Zaranko, associate director at the think tank the Institute for Fiscal Studies, and Jeevun Sandher, a Labour MP and former member of the Treasury Select Committee.


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Presented by Alain Tolhurst, produced by Nick Hilton and edited by Ewan Cameron for Podot

Transcript

Click on a timestamp to play from that location

0:00.0

Hello and welcome to The Rundown, a podcast from Politics Home with me Alan Tolst.

0:09.1

With the autumn budget looming, this week we're taking a look at one of the key players

0:12.8

in shaping the government's fiscal policy, but one that we know precious little about.

0:17.4

The forecast on the future health, the British economy, delivered to Rachel Reeves, by the Office of Vujit responsibility, will have more impact on deciding what the Chancellor announces next month than almost anything else.

0:27.6

But who are the unelected panjandrums who sit on the independent body known as the OBR? How reliable are the economic estimations? And why do they hold so much sway over the Treasury?

0:36.6

We'll need to discuss whether the OBR really runs Britain,

0:39.5

and if it needs reform or perhaps abolition altogether, as some have suggested.

0:43.4

I'd like to be joined by the Conservative former Chancellor Jeremy Hunt.

0:46.7

Alongside here we have Ben Zaranko, Associate Director at the Think Tank,

0:50.4

the Institute of Fiscal Studies.

0:51.9

And later in the episode, we'll also hear from Jeevan Sander,

0:57.1

a Labour MP and former member of the Treasury Select Committee.

1:05.7

So, Ben, starting with you, can you just explain for us what is the OBR, how did it get established and by whom, and kind of why? The Office of Budget Responsibility, the OBR, was created in 2010 by the new coalition

1:15.2

government when George Osborne was Chancellor.

1:17.9

As part of a wave actually across a whole number of countries to introduce greater

1:24.2

independence in particularly the production of forecasts around fiscal policy,

1:30.5

rather than having it made inside the Treasury.

1:33.6

The OBI would independently produce forecasts for where the economy is going,

1:36.7

where tax revenues and spending are going.

1:38.9

The argument often made, and the phrase often use,

1:41.7

is to get away from the world of the Treasury marking their own homework

1:44.7

and to try and make those things more credible. And then the other key thing that the OBR does

...

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