Joe Manchin put out the word that he's thinking of leaving the Democratic Party and then he promptly denied it.

What possibly could be going on here? I'll tell you my thoughts. It's called negotiating strategy 101.

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Is Joe Manchin leaving the Democratic Party? Think about the far-weaching consequences if he did. Right away he would cost the Democrats their Senate majority.

Joe Manchin would have two options. He could become an independent or he could become a Republican.

If he became a Republican, the Republicans would then control the Senate and that would be essentially the death knell for Biden's agenda.

But even if Manchin became an independent, he'd have a choice of caucusing either with the Republicans or the Democrats.

If he caucused with the Republicans, that would be a day facto 51-49 majority, just as much as if Manchin had become a Republican. But is all of this idle speculation.

There was a big hubbub on social media yesterday because a fellow who writes for a mother Jones named David Corn. David Corn is a leftist.

Joe Manchin is told associates he's considering leaving the Democratic Party and he already has an exit plan. Let's go through David Corn's article because David Corn says that Manchin has already raised this issue, not just with associates, who supposedly were the source for Corn to write the article.

But he's also told Biden and he's also told the leadership of the Democrats in the House and in the Senate, Schumer and Pelosi.

And apparently according to the article, he was thinking about becoming an independent, thinking about as the key word.

Michael doesn't go so far as to say he's going to do it, just that he is threatening to do it. And the threat would take two steps. He apparently would notify Schumer and then the next step would be that he would actually do it.

The right away, of course, well, first of all, the tireless Manu Raju, this is the peppy Indian fellow keeps chasing Manchin around like a dog. I of course catches up with Matt. What are you going to do, man? What are you going to do, what are you going to do?

And Manchin's like, you know, he said, this is BS. I'm not, Manchin denies publicly the idea. He says he's not, this is not true.

And it may seem, on first glance, that there it is. This was actually kind of a false story based on misinformation and that Manchin has sort of put matters to rest.

But I don't actually think that's the end of the matter for a couple of reasons.

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