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Cato Podcast

Dissecting Stern on Climate Change

Cato Podcast

Cato Institute

Immigration, News, News Commentary, Peace, 424708, Markets, Government, Libertarian, Policy, Politics, Cato, Defense

4.5979 Ratings

🗓️ 30 November 2006

⏱️ 12 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

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0:00.0

Welcome to Cato Daily Podcast. I'm Anastasia Yuglova, your host. In today's

0:05.1

podcast we'll talk to Cato Senior Fellow Jerry Taylor about his take on the

0:09.5

Stern Review on the Economics of Climate Change, a report that was released some weeks ago.

0:15.7

What does the stern review on the economics of climate change say about global warming?

0:19.8

Well the stern review was released in early November and what it argues is that if we leave

0:26.5

greenhouse gas emissions unaddressed a business as usual scenario would lead to

0:31.4

anywhere between a 5%

0:33.0

10% reduction in global GDP every single year

0:36.7

from about 50 years out through the rest of time.

0:39.7

It also argues that that revenue of that income loss could actually exceed 20% of

0:44.8

global GDP under certain circumstances as well. Now what made this very interesting

0:49.6

is that Stern argued that the losses from doing nothing are quite dramatic, but that we could

0:55.8

head off most of those losses by spending about 1% of global GDP in greenhouse gas emissions

1:02.0

controls.

1:03.0

So he was essentially selling an insurance policy.

1:05.1

Spend 1% of GDP now to offset the possibility

1:08.2

or almost the certainty of losing at least 5% of global GDP

1:11.0

every year, 50 years hence, or maybe even up to 20.

1:14.3

What's interesting is that it's not as if economists haven't looked at this sort of an issue

1:18.8

in the past, and there's a mountain of academic research on it, and Stern's calculations are very high compared to

1:25.6

those of say Bill Nordhouse at Yale or other economists who believe that a

1:29.3

business as usual scenario in other words assume that we ignore Al Gore's warnings and we

...

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