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RotoWire Fantasy Baseball Podcast

Did We Draft Starting Pitching Too Early?

RotoWire Fantasy Baseball Podcast

dj@rotowire.com

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4.6 • 784 Ratings

🗓️ 4 June 2024

⏱️ 70 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Jeff Erickson and Fred Zinkie look at data from 2024 and identify bankable trends. Where are our category leaders coming from? Did we draft starting pitching too soon? --- 00:00 - Fred Pod 6-4 00:30 - Overall data from 2024 (as of the start of play this week) 01:30 - 4 of the top-20 pitchers in ERA were drafted in the top-100 07:00 - 12 of the 19 pitches with 75 SO were drafted in the top-100 09:00 - 6 top the top-15 pitchers in WHIP were drafted in the top-100 11:30 - There are so many starters who have are sitting on waivers in most leagues and have an ERA around 3.50 and a WHIP around 1.15 (Ryan Weathers, Jake Irvin, Trevor Williams, Kyle Gibson etc.). Bailey Falter was available on Sunday in most of my 15-team leagues. He has a WHIP under 1.00!  13:30 - Are big bids on pitchers like Christian Scott ill-considered? 16:45 - Trevor Williams on IL 21:00 - 10 of the top-13 hitters in homers were drafted in the top-100; 5 of the 11 hitters who are batting .300 were drafted in the top-100; 10 of the 12 hitters with 40 runs scored were drafted in the top-100; 9 of the 15 players with 40 RBIs were drafted in the top-100 28:00 - Were we drafting pitchers too early in this “everyone can pitch” landscape? 31:45 - One more observation, of the 22 qualified pitchers with an ERA under 3.00, 15 have fewer strikeouts than innings. In this season of low BABIP and low HR/FB rate, is getting whiffs less important in run prevention? 39:00 - Should owners in trading leagues try to correct this by dealing effective pitchers for effective hitters?  47:00 - Finally, am I correct in believing that the pitcher injury crises was overblown (once again) in April? 55:00 - Monday notes: Kyle Tucker is day-to-day but should be fine…..Blake Snell is on the IL again…..Noelvi Marte will soon start his rehab assignment…..Brandon Marsh to the IL…..Robert Gasser is dealing with an elbow injury…..Connor Norby debuted…..Tyler Anderson continues to defy the odds….Matt Waldron pitched well again…..The Reds scored 13 at Coors…..Nolan Gorman has hit 8 HR in 14 games…..Mark Vientos had another great game…..MacKenzie Gore burned owners in his two-start week…..Kevin Gausman continues to stink…..Austin Hays hit his first two homers of the season…. --- Sorare Promotional Copy Build a Collection. Chase Glory. Sign up for Sorare: MLB today and get 50% off up to $50 on your first Pro Cards. Play now!  PrizePicks Download PrizePicks today and use code ROTOPOD for a first deposit match up to $100! Sign up now!  Pick more. Pick less. It’s that easy! Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Transcript

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0:00.0

we're two months into the season what overall trends can we examine both from a league-wide standpoint and from a fantasy standpoint did we draft starting pitchers too soon fred zinke weighs in on this and all what a whole lot more coming up next on the Rotelwire fantasy baseball podcast, brought to you by the good folks, folks from So Rare and from prize picks.

0:36.6

As always on Tuesday, at jeff ericson

0:38.6

here with fred zincky fred welcome uh busy busy uh day of baseball and uh we're in it now we're

0:45.3

two months in basically a third of the way through the season enough that i think we can uh

0:49.7

look at some overall arching trends yeah absolutely i mean everybody I mean, everybody says, and there's some truth

0:55.8

this, that, you know, scoring will pick up a little bit as the summer comes, the warm weather, things like that. But, but truthfully, like, it's already warm. We didn't have a terrible spring. It's already warm in most of the country. It's been warm a bit in most of the country for a while. so sure, we'll pick it. That'll all pick up.

1:12.0

Pitcher injuries could also like degrade some teams' rotations and bullpens to the point where that also, you know, increases scoring.

1:19.4

But I think we've, we've gone deep enough into the season now where we can see some ways that this year is different than last year.

1:24.7

Yeah, I think so.

1:25.8

So let's jump right into it here because I think there's some interesting overall trends.

1:32.6

One of the things you talked about, and this is out of the start of the play before yesterday's games,

1:37.6

four of the top 20 pitchers in an ERA were drafted in the top 100.

1:42.1

Four.

1:43.1

That's stark.

2:01.6

It's really unbelievable. And that's kind of where I started on this path of trying to figure out, like, that we're going to keep going into. And like I said, like you said, I did it at the start of yesterday's games. There could be a couple more that snuck in yesterday or bumped out or whatever. The bottom line is if it's, if today might be three it might be five or six it's going to bounce up and down four it's not going to 12 you know

2:07.9

anytime soon. So yeah when you look at the ERA leaders rangers Suarez Seth Lugo Rinaldo Lopetz

2:14.0

Tanner Hauk all of those players were on the board in the second half of a 15-team league draft. Then you have Terrick Scoubel, but then you have Luis Heel. Then you have Zach Wheeler, but then you have Javier Asad. Then you have Corbin Burns, but then you have Tyler Anderson and Reese Olson and Brady Singer and Jordan Hicks and Marcus Tremont, again, all available in the second half of drafts

2:35.9

and now I'm you know now I'm up

2:37.8

15 so

2:38.6

it's amazing how

2:41.2

the path to ERA greatness

2:43.7

in your fantasy league right here right now

...

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