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Real Vision: Finance & Investing

Did Markets Shrug Off the BoJ Decision?

Real Vision: Finance & Investing

Real Vision

Business News, News, Investing, Business

4.11.1K Ratings

🗓️ 21 December 2022

⏱️ 36 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

The yen slipped slightly today after surging almost 4% on Tuesday, after the Bank of Japan surprisingly tweaked its yield curve control policy. U.S. equities are up for the second straight day, providing a glimmer of hope for a better-than-expected earnings season. On today’s show, Andreas Steno Larsen is joined by the founder of 42 Macro, Darius Dale, to discuss where we are in the global liquidity cycle and what that means for his 2023 outlook. Andreas and Darius are fielding audience questions, so be sure to get yours in. Plus, we’ll hear from Weston Nakamura on what everyone is missing in the BoJ’s hawkish turn. You can watch the entire breakdown here: https://rvtv.io/3YzHGAp Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Transcript

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0:00.0

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0:37.3

Good afternoon and welcome to the real vision daily briefing. I'm at the Estinol from

0:41.5

Real Vision speaking and it's today Wednesday, the 21st of December. It's been another great

0:47.2

week in global macro, not least due to the decision taken by Bank of Japan yesterday.

0:53.3

Today we're going to ask the question whether this decision from Bank of Japan is just

0:57.9

a tempest in the teapot. I think that's a British saying, but I guess by a guess of the day

1:02.9

we'll get where I am going now. It's great to see you, Darius Dale, the founder of 42

1:08.4

macro. Andreas, it's great to be here, man. It's the last show of the year. Super excited

1:13.4

to be with you all. Darius, this decision taken by Bank of Japan. They obviously

1:21.3

moved the trade range for the 10 year bond yield from minus plus 25 basis points to the

1:28.7

double. So basically minus to plus 50 basis points instead. We got a decent move in the

1:34.7

Japanese bond space after that decision was taken. What do you make of it in a global context?

1:43.1

Yeah, so it's a lot going on. So from our perspective, the BLJ are led by outgoing

1:48.7

governor Haruiko Kamura, who's going to be these terms up in the spring of next year.

1:53.8

It's our belief that what they're effectively doing is sort of twofold. One,

1:57.5

acknowledging the fact that there's been some liquidity, significant deterioration in liquidity

2:01.5

in the JGB market, and so allowing for a wider band of trade, rider trading range to account for

...

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