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The Peter Schiff Show Podcast

Despite Slowing Economy, Job Growth Speeds Up – Ep. 51

The Peter Schiff Show Podcast

Peter Schiff

Business, Politics, News, Investing, Business News

4.65.9K Ratings

🗓️ 7 February 2015

⏱️ 20 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary



* Monthly non-farm employment number beat expectations
* Upward revisions to prior months
* Average hourly earnings number jumped by .5
* Immediate reaction in the market was swift
* Dollar up; gold down
* Unemployment up
* Labor force participation down among younger workers
* Jobs number inconsistent with other weak economic data
* Layoffs are up
* Government is way off on "jobs lost" data
* Yesterday's trade deficit was the largest increase recorded
* If our economy were strong, our workers would be producing and we would not rely on imports
* Trade deficit is subtracted from the GDP
* Productivity numbers weaker than expected
* How many times can the dollar rally on the same news?
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Transcript

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0:00.0

The Peter Schiff Show.

0:08.8

Well today we got the highly anticipated as it always is, monthly non-farm payroll

0:15.4

number, the employment situation number.

0:18.1

The consensus estimate was for gain of 230,000 jobs.

0:23.2

Now on Wednesday we got the ADP report which slightly missed expectations of 220,000

0:31.3

according to ADP we added 213,000 jobs in January.

0:37.3

So that was a bit of a disappointment and most people, myself included, I mean I was looking

0:41.9

for a weaker jobs number in January, consistent with all of the other economic data, the macro

0:49.4

economic data that has been consistently bad.

0:53.0

Throughout the month, including the recent GDP number for the fourth quarter that came

0:57.7

in way below the 3.2 estimate of 2.6 and given the numbers that have come out over the

1:02.9

last few days, that number is likely to be revised substantially lower next month, either

1:10.1

the low twos or maybe even the high ones.

1:13.2

So a huge deceleration, I'll get into the reasons for those revisions a little bit later.

1:18.6

But I want to continue to talk about the jobs data which came out and instead of being

1:24.6

below expectations, it beat 257,000 jobs was the number better than the 230,000 jobs that

1:35.4

had been expected.

1:37.6

But I think more significant than that beat were all of the upward revisions to prior months,

1:45.0

just the last two months alone, November and December, the government increased the number

1:49.5

of jobs created by 147,000.

1:51.3

In fact, they made upward revisions to almost every month, including going all the way back

1:57.0

to January.

...

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