Hi everyone and welcome. I'm Glenn Dyson and I'm joined today by Alexander Mercuris and Alistair

Crook, everyone's favorite British diplomat and analyst on the Middle East. So we're really seeing

some very extreme escalations now in Ukraine. NATO's appeared to cross new red lines, but we also

said that Russia has new several ways of retaliating, such as the Orishnik missile.

But I thought we could first start by addressing the changing situation in the Middle East.

And perhaps we could start with you, Alistair, in terms of what is happening?

Can you tell us about Israel's war now with its neighbors?

The ceasefire with Lebanon, will it hold?

And I guess we can also address Netanyahu's position within Israel,

but perhaps beginning with the actual war.

And perhaps this attack on a leopard.

Yes, okay.

First of all, I would say, you know, this is a long war.

So what we're seeing at the moment is basically shape-shifting.

It's just changing its shape, and it's moving from here to there and may move back again or it moves somewhere quite different. It's not,

I don't think we're coming to anywhere near the end anyway for some while ahead.

So, yes, first of all, there is the SISFAR in Lebanon,

which I suppose is the first thing that everyone sort of starts from at this point.

The SISFAR seems to be working so far, unless there's been sort of breaking news, but seems to be okay. But it's not, it's a truce, not a ceasepar.

And I think that for the moment that is sufficient, I think what are the reasons for the

SISFAR?

I mean, I think there are several from the Israeli point of view.

...