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No Lie with Brian Tyler Cohen

Democrats score biggest election overperformance yet

No Lie with Brian Tyler Cohen

Brian Tyler Cohen

News, Brian Tyler Cohen, Best Progressive Podcast, Democratic Podcasts, Best Liberal Podcast, Best Political Podcast, Brian Tyler Cohen Youtube, Politics, Progressive Podcast, Progressive Host, Top Political Podcast

4.97.8K Ratings

🗓️ 8 February 2026

⏱️ 60 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Democrats nab another deep red district in a deep red state as the overperformances add up. Brian interviews Pod Save America's Tommy Vietor and the cohosts of the Qanon Anonymous podcast.


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Written by Brian Tyler Cohen

Produced by Sam Graber

Recorded in Los Angeles, CA

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Transcript

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0:00.0

Democrats snab another deep red district in a deep red state as the overperformance add up.

0:05.8

And I've got two interviews, Pot Save America's Tommy Vitor and the co-host of the Q&ON anonymous podcast.

0:11.1

I'm Brian Taylor Cohen, and you're listening to No Lie.

0:16.0

Some big news out of the deep red state of Louisiana, Democrat Chastity Martinez has won a statehouse

0:22.1

seat in a district Donald Trump won by 13 points and she did it by 24 points, meaning this is a 37

0:30.3

point overperformance, 37 points. This result comes just days after another Democrat, Taylor Remitt,

0:36.7

won a Texas state Senate seat

0:38.3

by 14 points in a district Trump won by 17 points, meaning that was a 31 point overperformance.

0:45.2

And by the way, I've done some math.

0:47.2

If we see the overperformance that we just saw in Louisiana happen across the country this November,

0:52.8

we would win every house seat except for like

0:55.3

a dozen. Will that happen? No, but it's nice to have goals. And look, when you compare these

1:00.9

races to the governor's races, for example, in New Jersey or Virginia, yes, we saw roughly 15-point

1:06.8

swings from 2024, and that is unequivocally great news. But those are blue and purple

1:12.8

states. And elections, of course, are cyclical. In those kind of states, sometimes Republican

1:18.1

voters are more enthusiastic and turn out more, and they win. And sometimes Democrats are more

1:22.8

enthusiastic and turn out more, and they win. So the swings are a little less surprising.

1:29.1

But these races,

1:34.9

a races in Texas and Louisiana, are not that. Like we're talking about deep red districts,

1:41.3

districts that Donald Trump won handily. In districts like this, you cannot win unless you've got Republican support. That means that not only are Democrats turning out and voting for

1:45.3

Democrats, but Republicans and independents are defecting and voting for Democrats too.

1:50.8

And what's worse for the GOP is that a lot of Republican states have just redrawn their maps

...

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