Besides for like the Tom Hacks night, take that out of the equation, is this not

potentially maybe this is the most obvious recession incoming that we've ever seen?

Like if we get a recession, well that's not have been the most obvious recession of all time.

Yes, you agree with me?

Well, the few that I've lived through, and this is the one that I feel most qualified to even

speak about. So maybe that maybe there's not recency bias, but there's like some personal bias

there because now we haven't left this stage in my career. I basically know everything is how I

feel. Of course, of course, I don't. Oh my god. No, don't delete it. That's how I feel. I'm very,

I'm very confident. The Fed is already tightened with their mouths into an economic slowdown

and something's going to break. So okay, very, very confident. That being said, very confident in my

career. Why do we cover rates? I'm bad, but you can't possibly sell stocks. It's not that

bearish. Can't sell. No, just keep on. This might be just be a recession where stocks are great.

Yeah, I'm saying that stocks are, I mean, if you look at the yield curve data, right, like the last

five out of the last six led to recession, right, the one in August, 2019 didn't. Let's not,

I don't want to count the. No, it did. It did. No, don't count the COVID recession off the

that doesn't count. That's ridiculous. It was in August, 2019. It was three months long. Wait,

no, no, no, no, it shouldn't count because in August, 2019, COVID didn't exist. So let's

stand. But are you data X data? Well, I'm data. That's like not fair. You'll

curve it based on a future pandemic that no one knew about. The yield curve is undefeated,

although I would agree, I would agree. It has lost some predictive power. Just based on the fact

that the Fed is so involved in the yield curve. I think, I think it's, I think it still has

predictive power. I think it's like five out of six times. It's pretty good. It's not five out of six.

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