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Real Vision: Finance & Investing

David Rosenberg: Is US Economic Strength Here to Stay?

Real Vision: Finance & Investing

Real Vision

News, Business News, Investing, Business

4.11.1K Ratings

🗓️ 4 July 2021

⏱️ 68 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

The Interview: At a time when the mainstream narrative revolves around the risk of an overheating US economy and consumer price inflation, David Rosenberg, president and chief economist & strategist of Rosenberg Research & Associates Inc., is the ultimate contrarian voice. In this interview with Real Vision’s Ed Harrison, Rosenberg acknowledges the strength of the US economy and is willing to switch tack if the data warrant it later this year. However, he expects, contrary to most, that the economy’s vigor will fade as government stimulus does and that the post-financial crisis precautionary savings rates to go even higher in this cycle, resulting in less growth and less inflation than is priced into US equities. Rosenberg remains bullish on bonds and on Asian equities, particularly in China. Believing that alpha is king now, he thinks we have entered a stock picker’s world where riding an uptrend through passive investing or in ETFs will not work. Filmed on April 27, 2021. If you want to keep up with Rosenberg's research, you can start a free 30-day trial here: https://bit.ly/3pQ4nyB. For our Listeners: Head to https://www.rocketlawyer.com/workconfidently to start your free 7-day trial today. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Transcript

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0:00.0

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0:23.0

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0:26.0

This is a high risk investment and you should not expect to be protected if something goes wrong.

0:30.0

Welcome to another edition of investment ideas.

0:53.0

I'm the host here at Harrison and I have the distinct pleasure of talking yet again to the great

0:59.0

David Rosenberg of Rosenberg research.

1:03.0

Dave, welcome back.

1:05.0

Thanks very much, Ed.

1:07.0

I would just say that there's some people that might say great David Rosenberg is an oxymoron.

1:12.0

So I tread carefully there.

1:14.0

Well, you say that because just before we came on, we were talking about the great cognitive distance that's going on as a result of what I would call actually a mania.

1:25.0

I don't want to put words in your mouth because if as soon as you start talking about it from that perspective, people will start downloading you.

1:32.0

But I think that we're an extraordinary times who would have thought that you could have a pandemic closed on the entire economy and the outcome would be stocks to a record high across the globe.

1:47.0

I mean, that's where we are today.

1:49.0

Well, because I guess, you know, what the opposite side of the argument would be that that the policy response has been even greater than the than that initial negative shock.

2:01.0

So I think that's one part of it that that looks as though both the the monetary intervention by the Fed and other central banks and the radical fiscal stimulus are lasting.

...

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