David Brady on the State of the Electorate

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🗓️ 2 August 2010

⏱️ 63 minutes

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Summary

David Brady of Stanford University talks with EconTalk host Russ Roberts about the state of the electorate and what current and past political science have to say about the upcoming midterm elections. Drawing on his own survey work and that of others, Brady uses current opinion polls to predict a range of likely outcomes in the House and Senate in November. He then discusses the role of recent health care legislation in the upcoming election as well as Obama's approval ratings. The conversation concludes with Brady's assessment of how Congress might deal with the demographic challenge facing entitlement programs.

Transcript

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0:00.0	Welcome to Econ Talk, part of the Library of Economics and Liberty.
0:12.5	I'm your host Russ Roberts of George Mason University and Stanford University's Hoover
0:17.3	Institution.
0:18.7	Our website is econtalk.org where you can subscribe, find other episodes, comment on this podcast,
0:25.8	and find links to other information related to today's conversation.
0:29.9	Our email address is mailadicontalk.org.
0:33.6	We'd love to hear from you.
0:37.1	Today is July 26, 2010 and my guest is David Brady, the Davies Family Senior Fellow
0:44.8	at the Hoover Institution and a Professor of Political Science here at Stanford University.
0:49.4	Dave, welcome back to Econ Talk.
0:51.0	Thanks for having me.
0:52.9	We're having this conversation roughly three months from a midterm election of 2010.
0:58.8	What's the mood of the electorate?
0:59.8	What are the issues they're worried about, excited about, and what's going to happen?
1:04.4	Well, one way to answer that question is sort of doing average, but I think the mood of
1:09.4	the electorate varies by political party.
1:13.4	The Republicans are not happy.
1:17.5	Most of the Tea Party members who are upset about government spending are Republican.
1:22.7	Democrats are pretty still pretty happy with the president.
1:26.6	People has about an 80% approval rating among Democrats, but it's the all-important independence
1:32.8	where the mood of the country has changed.
1:37.1	The independence who are growing a number over the past year and a half, their numbers
	...

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