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Sinica Podcast

Danny Russel on the rebalancing and decoupling

Sinica Podcast

Kaiser Kuo

Culture, China News, Hangzhou, Chinese, International Relations, Chongqing, Beijing, Sichuan, Currentaffairs, China, Politics, Chengdu, Shanghai, Guangzhou, China Economy, News, China Politics, Business, Film, Shenzhen

4.8676 Ratings

🗓️ 25 October 2018

⏱️ 84 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

This week on Sinica, Kaiser speaks with Danny Russel, career diplomat and former assistant secretary of state for East Asian and Pacific affairs from 2013 to 2017, and currently vice president for international security and diplomacy at the Asia Society Policy Institute (ASPI). The conversation centers on all things diplomatic in East and Southeast Asia: the Trans-Pacific Partnership; internet freedom in China; the country’s “illiberal turn”; espionage and intellectual property theft during his time in Washington; the Obama administration’s position on the Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank (AIIB); and, finally, reflections on the current state of the U.S.-China relationship. What to listen for on this week’s Sinica Podcast: 3:20: Kaiser begins the discussion with a question about the characterization of the Obama administration’s regional strategy, the “Pivot to East Asia.” Russel maintains that “[Barack Obama]…understood intellectually and understood viscerally, that America’s economic development, that America’s security interests and America’s future, was inextricably linked to the Asia-Pacific region, which was clearly the driver of global growth.” 38:25: Assistant Secretary Russel elaborates on the driving forces behind the “illiberal turn” that has fueled anxieties among China-watchers. “It felt as if the impact of the 2008 financial crisis had sent a pulse through Chinese thinking. This pulse seemed to dispel the long-held notion that there was something to respect, and to perhaps imitate, in the Western economic model.” 57:31: “If China’s going to throw a lot of money behind the laudable objective of promoting infrastructure development in Asia, why doesn’t it use the Asian Development Bank, or the World Bank, or some of the existing mechanisms that are proven institutions? And if then, if China is going to create not a national bank, but an international development bank, the starting point for any new multilateral banking institution had better be the high-water mark in terms of standards and operations that have been achieved over the last 70 years by the existing multilateral banks.” 59:00: “Early on in the time of the Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank’s conception, it was all label and no substance. What we were seeing, and hearing was that China was asking governments to buy what was a pig in a poke.” 1:05:36: Kaiser raises a question regarding the anxieties that have taken root between Washington and Beijing and now are straining the relationship, some deserved and others unfounded. “We’re seeing what’s almost a perfect storm in which the accumulated frustration and unhappiness among so many different elements of U.S. society, and so many stakeholders that traditionally have supported the U.S.-China relationship,” Assistant Secretary Russel comments on the continually worsening state of affairs, as there is a the “diminished willingness to speak up” in defense of the relationship. Recommendations: Assistant Secretary Russel: No book or show, but rather a plea for public service; the Foreign Service, joining a non-governmental organization, nonprofit work, etc. Kaiser: Educated, by Tara Westover, a memoir of a young girl raised in a fundamentalist, survivalist Mormon family in Idaho.

This podcast was edited and produced by Kaiser Kuo and Jason MacRonald.

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Transcript

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0:00.0

Welcome to the Cynica podcast, the weekly discussion of current affairs in China, produced in partnership with SubChina.

0:14.6

SubChina is the best way to keep on top of all the latest news on China with our free email newsletter, our app, and our website.

0:22.2

While you're there, check out the growing stable of podcasts in the Cynica Network, too,

0:26.6

like our newest show, the China Econ Talk podcast with Jordan Schneider.

0:31.3

SubChina offers uncensored reporting from and about China,

0:34.5

and you can read about everything from media policy to the Me Too movement,

0:37.8

from the trade war to China's ongoing draconian repression of Uyghurs in southern Xinjiang,

0:43.0

where sure you'll agree that it's a feast of business, political, and cultural news

0:46.8

about a nation that is reshaping the world.

0:49.5

I'm Kaiser Guo, and I am at the Asia Society today to speak with Danny Russell,

1:01.3

who, as I'm sure many of our listeners know, was Assistant Secretary of State for East Asian and Pacific Affairs during the Second Obama administration.

1:12.2

He is currently vice president of the ASPI, the Asia Society Policy Institute, and during the first Obama administration, he was on loan from state to the National Security Council,

1:15.9

where he served as senior director for Asian affairs in the White House.

1:20.6

Danny, who was a career diplomat, was really the principal architect of the pivot,

1:23.5

or as it was later rebranded, the rebalancing.

1:27.9

We'll chat about his time at the White House and at the State Department about the troubling shifts that happened in China on his watch, as it were, but also about the significant

1:33.3

accomplishments of those years.

1:35.2

And we will, of course, talk about the current state and disturbing direction of the bilateral

1:39.5

relationship during the current administration.

1:43.8

Danny Russell, welcome to Seneca.

1:45.2

We are delighted to have you on at last.

1:46.8

Thank you, Kaiser.

...

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