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The Dividend Cafe

Daily Covid and Markets Podcast - Thursday May 21

The Dividend Cafe

The Dividend Cafe - The Bahnsen Group

Wealth Management, Macro Economics, Retirement Planning, Estate Planning, Monetary Policy, Investing, Dividend Growth Investing, Business

4.9572 Ratings

🗓️ 21 May 2020

⏱️ 20 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

The market was down a hundred points today, and basically stayed between flat and down one hundred all day. Oil remains around $34/barrel. Muni bonds continued about ten consecutive days of trading well. Corporates were off a tad. And syndicated loans seemed to be up a tad despite equity markets being off a tad.

Weekly initial jobless claims came in at 2.4 million, bringing the total number to 38 million since the COVID pandemic began (~8 million of those 38 million, though, are no longer on unemployment, presumably having found new jobs or re-secured their old job).

Links mentioned in this episode: DividendCafe.com TheBahnsenGroup.com

Transcript

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0:00.0

Welcome to the Dividing Cafe weekly market commentary focused on dividends in your portfolio and dividends in your understanding of economic life.

0:12.8

Hello and welcome to today's COVID and markets. This is David Bonson, chief investment officer of the Bonson Group, and our COVID-In Markets podcast

0:22.6

is brought to you by the Dividing Cafe. I have, you know, the normal things to go through

0:30.2

today, markets, health data, oil, mortgage housing, policy, market technicals, and a little more than normal on the Fed.

0:41.0

So we'll get into it.

0:42.5

The market was down about 100 points today.

0:44.4

It basically was between flat and down 100 pretty much all day.

0:48.4

So one of the less volatile days we've had in the market in quite some time.

0:53.4

Oil was up on the day, remains around $34 a barrel on WTI.

0:58.0

Muni bonds, I believe, are looking at about 10 consecutive days of positive trading now.

1:05.0

Corporates are off a tad, as best I can tell, not much, between both junk and IGs were off a little. Syndicated loans

1:13.7

seem to be up a little bit, which is only noteworthy because equity markets were down a tad,

1:19.8

and generally they've been pretty positively correlated. But again, it's Thursday, and so that

1:25.1

means weekly initial jobless claims came, and the number came in at 2.4 million, which is around the number that consensus was expecting.

1:34.8

It brings the total number to 38 million of initial jobless claims filed since the COVID pandemic began.

1:43.8

And the economic estimate I got today is that

1:46.5

8 million of those are no longer collecting unemployment, meaning they've either found a new job

1:53.0

or re-secured their old job, which is interesting, 8 million out of 38 million effectively

1:58.7

getting back into the workforce, really before the

2:02.3

economy is actually back up and running. So I assume a lot of those are probably in states

2:06.8

where the economy began reopening sooner than other places. Or some of them perhaps are people

2:14.8

that went on unemployment in the immediate aftermath of COVID,

...

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