Daily Covid and Markets Podcast - Thursday May 21
The Dividend Cafe
The Dividend Cafe - The Bahnsen Group
4.9 • 572 Ratings
🗓️ 21 May 2020
⏱️ 20 minutes
🔗️ Recording | Apple Podcasts | RSS
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Summary
The market was down a hundred points today, and basically stayed between flat and down one hundred all day. Oil remains around $34/barrel. Muni bonds continued about ten consecutive days of trading well. Corporates were off a tad. And syndicated loans seemed to be up a tad despite equity markets being off a tad.
Weekly initial jobless claims came in at 2.4 million, bringing the total number to 38 million since the COVID pandemic began (~8 million of those 38 million, though, are no longer on unemployment, presumably having found new jobs or re-secured their old job).
Links mentioned in this episode: DividendCafe.com TheBahnsenGroup.com
Transcript
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| 0:00.0 | Welcome to the Dividing Cafe weekly market commentary focused on dividends in your portfolio and dividends in your understanding of economic life. |
| 0:12.8 | Hello and welcome to today's COVID and markets. This is David Bonson, chief investment officer of the Bonson Group, and our COVID-In Markets podcast |
| 0:22.6 | is brought to you by the Dividing Cafe. I have, you know, the normal things to go through |
| 0:30.2 | today, markets, health data, oil, mortgage housing, policy, market technicals, and a little more than normal on the Fed. |
| 0:41.0 | So we'll get into it. |
| 0:42.5 | The market was down about 100 points today. |
| 0:44.4 | It basically was between flat and down 100 pretty much all day. |
| 0:48.4 | So one of the less volatile days we've had in the market in quite some time. |
| 0:53.4 | Oil was up on the day, remains around $34 a barrel on WTI. |
| 0:58.0 | Muni bonds, I believe, are looking at about 10 consecutive days of positive trading now. |
| 1:05.0 | Corporates are off a tad, as best I can tell, not much, between both junk and IGs were off a little. Syndicated loans |
| 1:13.7 | seem to be up a little bit, which is only noteworthy because equity markets were down a tad, |
| 1:19.8 | and generally they've been pretty positively correlated. But again, it's Thursday, and so that |
| 1:25.1 | means weekly initial jobless claims came, and the number came in at 2.4 million, which is around the number that consensus was expecting. |
| 1:34.8 | It brings the total number to 38 million of initial jobless claims filed since the COVID pandemic began. |
| 1:43.8 | And the economic estimate I got today is that |
| 1:46.5 | 8 million of those are no longer collecting unemployment, meaning they've either found a new job |
| 1:53.0 | or re-secured their old job, which is interesting, 8 million out of 38 million effectively |
| 1:58.7 | getting back into the workforce, really before the |
| 2:02.3 | economy is actually back up and running. So I assume a lot of those are probably in states |
| 2:06.8 | where the economy began reopening sooner than other places. Or some of them perhaps are people |
| 2:14.8 | that went on unemployment in the immediate aftermath of COVID, |
... |
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