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Real Vision: Finance & Investing

Daily Briefing - Sep 2, 2020 - Risk of an Equity drawdown

Real Vision: Finance & Investing

Real Vision

Investing, Business News, News, Business

4.11.1K Ratings

🗓️ 2 September 2020

⏱️ 42 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Senior editor, Ash Bennington, joins managing editor, Ed Harrison, to talk about the risk of an equity drawdown for retail investors in particular. Ed and Ash explore how market volatility is increasing and the fact that bond yields globally have converged to zero makes a drawdown that much more severe. They also talk about how the activity in the derivatives market is playing into the uptick in market volatility. Ash also hosts James Altucher to discuss his recent article in the New York Post about the narrative of the death of cities, and Ed and Ash provide their thoughts. In the intro, Nick Correa discusses Australia’s slide into recession after almost 3 decades of economic expansion. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Transcript

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0:00.0

It's Wednesday, September 2nd, 2020, just after market close in New York.

0:16.7

This is the Real Vision Daily Briefing.

0:19.2

I'm Ash Bennington in New York, joined shortly by our managing editor, Ed Harrison.

0:24.0

Also, later in this show, we're joined by James Altacher,

0:28.0

who talks about his controversial essay about the death of New York City.

0:32.0

But first, the day's stories with Nick

0:34.8

Correa. Thanks Ash. Today the Australian government announced that the

0:38.4

nation had fallen into recession in the second quarter after almost

0:41.5

nearly three decades of economic growth.

0:43.7

The 7% contraction in GDP is the sharpest decrease Australia had experienced

0:48.6

since record keeping had begun in 1959. In the first quarter of this year the country had experienced a 0.3% drop in GDP.

0:57.0

The severity of this recession was even worse than was expected.

1:00.0

Economists had estimated a 5% to 7% contraction, and before this year, the biggest contraction in Australia's GDP was in the second quarter of 1974, at 2%.

1:10.8

The drop in GDP is attributed to the global pandemic as well as to policies enacted to contain the spread of COVID-19.

1:17.0

At this time, Australia's second most populous state, Victoria, is still under lockdown as it continues to struggle in warding off a surge in infections

1:25.2

that occurred from returning travelers. End officials have extended the state of emergency in

1:29.3

Victoria for six months. In this time, Australia has reported that welfare payments have increased by

1:34.5

41.6 percent, a record amount, to support an increase in recipients as well as doling out additional

1:40.6

payments. Their unemployment rate stands at 7.5%, which is the worst that has been in

1:46.0

22 years. In July, more than a million Australians were unemployed. Spending on services fell

1:52.0

by 17.6%, and hours worked had fallen 9.8%, which was also a record amount.

1:58.0

Just as the global recession has devastated millions upon millions worldwide, this also is consequential for Australia, relative

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