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Real Vision: Finance & Investing

Daily Briefing - May 1, 2020

Real Vision: Finance & Investing

Real Vision

Business News, Business, Investing, News

4.11.1K Ratings

🗓️ 2 May 2020

⏱️ 35 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Ash Bennington joins Real Vision CEO Raoul Pal for an exploration of how to find the macro signal amid the noise of economic indicators, alternative data, and confounding price action. Raoul describes an alarming pattern he's been noticing in data on foot traffic, and gives his view on whether fiscal and monetary policy will be able to "paper over the cracks." Raoul and Ash then analyze the recent mortgage payment figures, and have a little bit of fun with Elon Musk's recent antics. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Transcript

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0:00.0

Hi, I'm Ralpow, co-founder and CEO of Real Vision. Thank you so much for listening to the Real Vision

0:07.1

podcast.

0:08.1

At Real Vision, we pride ourselves in providing the best in-depth expert analysis available to help you understand the complex world

0:16.0

of finance, business and the global economy.

0:19.7

If you like what you hear, I hope you'll accept my invitation to try Real Vision Plus for 30 days for just

0:25.5

one dollar. Visit real Vision Podcast.com today and join us as we navigate the financial

0:32.0

world together.

0:33.0

Cheers. Welcome to the Real Vision Daily Briefing. I'm Jack Farley. It's Friday, May 1st.

0:51.6

We've got Raal and Ash standing by. But first let's go over the biggest story of the day.

0:57.0

Oil producers continue to feel the heat.

1:00.0

ExxonMobil today reported its first quarterly loss in 32 years, and it froze its dividend

1:06.2

for the first time in 13 years.

1:08.6

Meanwhile, Royal Dutch Shell cut its dividend for the first time since World War II.

1:13.4

It's a reminder that even if the long squeeze in oil is over,

1:18.4

the pain for oil producers is only just beginning.

1:22.0

The futures are showing that order has been restored to the market

1:24.8

with Western Texas intermediate hovering at just above $19. And a look at the implied

1:29.9

vol for W.T. I. shows that volatility is being tamed compared to a week ago.

1:35.2

The bottom line is that for most drillers,

1:38.0

W.T. I at $19 is simply uneconomic.

1:41.4

And the futures curve doesn't contain much hope.

1:43.8

If the curve is correct for many producers,

...

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