Daily Briefing – July 30, 2020 – Dollar Decline Narrative is Exaggerated: Marc Chandler
Real Vision: Finance & Investing
Real Vision
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🗓️ 30 July 2020
⏱️ 29 minutes
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| 0:00.0 | Welcome to the Real Vision Daily Briefing. I am the host today Ed Harrison and it is the 30th of July 2020. |
| 0:15.8 | We're going to be joined today by Mark Chandler |
| 0:18.6 | of Bannickburn Global 4X. |
| 0:20.3 | He's the chief market strategist there. |
| 0:22.4 | Very shortly, he's going to be on but first we're going to go to Nick |
| 0:25.8 | Korea who's going to tell us the story of the day. Thanks Ed. In Q2 of this year the US economy |
| 0:31.7 | contracted by a full 9.5%. |
| 0:34.8 | That's an annualized rate of 32.9%. |
| 0:37.7 | This decline in GDP is the sharpest the U.S. economy has faced since quarterly GDP record keeping began in the 40s. |
| 0:44.0 | And while the U.S. economy bounced back during the latter part of the second quarter, |
| 0:48.0 | more recently, the economic recovery has slowed due to an increase of the spread of the coronavirus as states and |
| 0:54.0 | municipalities reverse reopening plans. The GDP contraction was wide-ranging. |
| 0:59.0 | Business investments was down at an annualized pace of 27%, and residential investment dropped at 38.7%. |
| 1:07.0 | For household spending for services, the annualized drop was an astounding 43.5%. |
| 1:13.8 | And while employment, spending, and production data demonstrated more strength when the |
| 1:17.2 | U.S. economy reopened, reversals of that reopening are showing up as slowing in real-time |
| 1:21.8 | data sets, as the epidemic grows in severity in the U.S. |
| 1:25.6 | The v-shaped recovery is starting to look more and more like fantasy. |
| 1:30.4 | The disastrous Q2 GDP comes a day after Chairman Powell's warning that the future of the U.S. economy would, quote, depend significantly on the course of the virus, end quote. |
| 1:40.0 | What's more, the U.S. Department of Labor Unemployment Insurance Report, released this morning for last week's data, showed initial jobless claims increasing for the second week in a row to 1.43 million. |
| 1:51.0 | While employers added 7.5 million people to their payrolls in May and June, |
| 1:56.0 | payrolls are still down more than 14.5 million from their pre-lockdown levels, |
... |
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