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Cato Podcast

Criminal Immigrants in 2017: Their Numbers, Demographics, and Countries of Origin

Cato Podcast

Cato Institute

Immigration, News, News Commentary, Peace, 424708, Markets, Government, Libertarian, Policy, Politics, Cato, Defense

4.5979 Ratings

🗓️ 4 March 2019

⏱️ 12 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

For all the bluster about immigration, the idea that immigrants pose a unique crime problem still doesn't show up in the data. Alex Nowrasteh discusses his new paper.

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Transcript

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0:00.0

This is the Cato Daily Podcast for Monday, March 4th, 2019. I'm Caleb Brown.

0:09.0

The scourge of immigrant crime remains a relative non-problem if you look at incarceration rates

0:14.5

for immigrants versus native borns. Cato's Alex Narasta is co-author of a new paper

0:19.1

Criminal Immigrants in 2017 available today at Cato.org.

0:24.0

It's probably weird for people to think about looking at crime rates

0:29.0

more than a year behind us, but of course that's how data tends to be gathered. It takes a while to sort and come up with some results. So you've looked into with your co-author the rates of immigrant crime in the year 2017. What do we know?

0:48.0

So we took a look at the American Community Survey. It's part of the U.S US Census, they have a portion where they have

0:55.0

information on those who are in prisons in the United States.

0:58.6

So we took a look at the foreign-born people in prison and then we applied a common statistical method

1:05.5

called the residual method to try to identify illegal immigrants among those who are

1:10.8

incarcerated in prison. We found that for the age group 18 to 54,

1:16.2

Native-born Americans had an incarceration rate of 1,471 for every 100,000 natives.

1:24.0

Illegal immigrants had incarceration rate of 756 per 100,000 illegal immigrants

1:31.0

and legal immigrants in the United States had incarceration rate of 364 per

1:36.8

100,000 legal immigrants.

1:39.1

So just to put that in percentage terms, illegal immigrants are 49% less likely to be incarcerated

1:44.8

than Native-born Americans and legal immigrants are 75% less likely to be

1:49.3

incarcerated than Native-born Americans in the year 2017.

1:53.6

So I see you arguing on the Twitter sphere with people about crime rates and crimes that are committed by immigrants versus native boards.

2:07.6

And there's a common refrain among people who argue with you and that is one a general overstatement based

2:16.7

upon what we know about the number of illegal immigrants in the United States

2:20.8

and then your common rejoinder is that well that actually means

...

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