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Squawk on the Street

Cramer's Morning Take: China Data Miss 8/15/23

Squawk on the Street

CNBC

Investing, Business, News

4.1567 Ratings

🗓️ 15 August 2023

⏱️ 3 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Jim Cramer and Jeff Marks discuss weakened investor sentiment after China reported disappointing economic data and its central bank made a surprise rate cut. They also discussed why they started a new position in Oracle. Become a CNBC Investing Club member to go behind the scenes with Jim Cramer and Jeff Marks as they talk candidly about the market’s biggest headlines. Signup here: cnbc.com/morningtake CNBC Investing Club Disclaimer

Transcript

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0:00.0

I'm Jim Kramer and you're about to hear a sample taken directly from today's CBC Investing Club morning meeting.

0:09.0

I think it's an important moment because I think that this market is reacting to things that are happening in China.

0:17.0

And the Chinese actually have a controlled economy so they can actually get their economy going if they want to.

0:21.6

Industrial outputs low, retail sales, but I want to remind people that in the old days what would happen,

0:26.6

I think we'd have the old days, this is a demarcation point.

0:30.6

China over there not important.

0:33.6

We've made them less important simply because of our policies.

0:36.6

Our market should trade on its own.

0:40.0

Yeah.

0:40.4

And we actually had some pretty good retail sales numbers showing some more resilience from the consumer.

0:47.4

Those numbers were better than expected, a 0.7 month over month, beating estimates of 0.4.

0:53.1

Important because this was also the Amazon Prime

0:56.5

Day month, so a good sign of strength there.

1:01.3

By the other hand. We're focused on the fact that the Fed has raised rates endlessly,

1:06.0

and we still have a consumer strong. This is all part of my thesis that we're not having a soft

1:09.8

landing or hardly. We're not landing. And that's good. So you had yields surge initially right after the news come back. They've come back a little bit, but at one point the 10-year yield was as high as it's been since last October. Right. The two-year yield was about five. So these are some important figures. I think that what people have to recognize, away from the conventional

1:28.2

wisdom, is you actually want the longer rates higher. Why do you want that higher? Because it shows

1:32.9

that there is not, we don't have deflation in this country. We have a strong economy. Maybe it's

1:37.7

a strong economy that Fed has to raise rates again. I would have to argue that they would.

1:42.3

But there's a lot of stocks that are down off of China. I've been watching, for instance, the lately we've seen the travel stocks down. There are a lot of people feeling that that's peak. When I speak to Steve, sure it hurts, he tells me otherwise. They look at Airbnb, Brian Chesky saying things are otherwise, Marriott things are otherwise. I just simply, the Delta obviously believes otherwise.

2:01.6

I just think there are a lot of theses that are still in track. I think aerospace is very on track, which is why I'm after you to buy some Honeywell. I know that that has been a sticking point because we've been trying to be very disciplined about where to buy Honeywell. But I just happen to like the tape. like to tape enough that we actually committed some money right here right now into

2:18.2

Oracle.

...

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