3.8 • 950 Ratings
🗓️ 12 August 2025
⏱️ 6 minutes
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0:00.0 | Welcome to Seeking Alpha's Wall Street Lunch, our afternoon update on today's market action, news, and analysis. |
0:09.9 | Good afternoon. Today is Tuesday, August 12th, and I'm your host, Kim Khan. Our top story so far. Retail |
0:16.0 | inflation held few surprises in July, with the overall number steady but core inflation, which the Fed watches, |
0:21.8 | continuing a re-acceleration that started in March. The July core consumer price index, which |
0:26.8 | excludes food and energy, ticked up to a 3.1% annual rate, its highest level since February. |
0:32.6 | That exceeded the 3% consensus and the 2.9% pace in June. Core CPI rose 0.3% on the month in line with forecasts. |
0:40.9 | Economist Justin Wolfers says, for two years inflation was declining toward the Fed's target. That seems to be over. |
0:47.2 | Including food and energy, the CPI rose 0.2% month on month as anticipated. On a year-on-year basis, |
0:53.3 | that comes to a 2.7% increase, |
0:55.6 | compared with the 2.8% consensus, and even with June. The index for shelter costs increased |
1:00.6 | 0.2% in July and was the primary factor in the All-Items Month. The Food Index was unchanged. |
1:06.8 | The Energy Index dropped 1.1% in July, with the index for gas falling 2.2% on the month. |
1:12.8 | Guy Labar, a strategist at Investment Bank, Janney, says there was not really much price pressure |
1:17.8 | from tariffs, with cost being absorbed into corporate margins now, but companies will raise prices |
1:22.5 | on tariffed goods into the fall. The stock market seemed relieved that the numbers didn't |
1:26.4 | come in hot, disrupting |
1:27.5 | rate-cut expectations after a weak jobs report. Equities rallied while Treasury yields fell. |
1:32.7 | Skyler Wynan, Chief Investment Officer at Reagan Capital, says consumers are feeling wealthier again |
1:37.7 | thanks to rising stock and home prices, and that is brought back FOMO, fear of missing out, |
1:42.2 | and dip buyers who have been rewarded time and again. |
1:45.3 | The U.S. consumer and corporations are as healthy as they ever have been, and have plenty of |
1:49.7 | dry powder to prolong this stock market rally. The odds of the Fed cutting three times this year |
... |
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