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The Dividend Cafe

Covid and Markets - Tuesday September 8

The Dividend Cafe

The Dividend Cafe - The Bahnsen Group

Macro Economics, Monetary Policy, Dividend Growth Investing, Retirement Planning, Wealth Management, Investing, Business, Estate Planning

4.9572 Ratings

🗓️ 8 September 2020

⏱️ 13 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

The market dropped for the third day in a row, again led substantially by the sell-off in big tech (the Nasdaq is down 10% since last Wednesday’s late day high). The Dow is down ~1,600 points since mid-week last week, about half of the drop in the Nasdaq in percentage terms. Futures were pointing up ~200 points last night, but today the market opened down 400 points and chopped around throughout the day, taking two turns down in the final two hours of trading.

Expect a bit more markets and economic coverage in this week’s missives than normal because the Friday Dividend Cafe will be exclusively focused as the special election issue. We are entering a new phase of the COVID economic recovery that I believe will move slower than the first half has moved. A lot of the low-hanging fruit of job recovery and activity-resurgence has taken place, but normalized conditions are a ways off and will likely see a slowdown in pace of recovery from here.

COVID Health Information

• I am sure the Labor Day report of just 27,000 new cases yesterday was low around holiday reporting issues. The 7-day moving average is dropping ever so slowly. • The 7-day rolling average for daily mortalities is down 12% from the week prior and down 22% from a month ago. • The leaders of nine major pharma companies, all engaged in leading vaccine efforts, sent a public letter vowing to take no shortcuts en route to a COVID vaccine. • Incredible news (I will keep this updated as long as Dr. Bostom keeps maintaining the source report): 26,000 alleged COVID positive cases on college campuses now; zero hospitalizations

Links mentioned in this episode: DividendCafe.com TheBahnsenGroup.com

Transcript

Click on a timestamp to play from that location

0:00.0

Welcome to the Dividing Cafe, weekly market commentary focused on dividends in your portfolio

0:06.5

and dividends in your understanding of economic life.

0:12.1

Hello and welcome to today's COVID and markets podcast brought to you by the Dividing Cafe of

0:17.6

the Bonson Group. We had our third day in a row of a sell-off in the market,

0:22.3

again, primarily led by the tech sector and the NASDAQ. Nasdaq was down over 4%. The Dow was down

0:31.9

just over 2%. S&P somewhere in between. The Dow is down 1,600 points since the middle of last week,

0:40.2

which is about half of the percentage drop that the NASDAQ is seen.

0:45.1

The NASDAQ is now down 10% since it's high of last Wednesday.

0:51.5

And keep in mind, of course, yesterday Labor Day was a holiday.

0:57.9

So you definitely are

1:05.7

getting a bit of a tech correction i just want to remind everyone that the NASDAQ is still up 55 from its march bottom and still up 21% year to date.

1:11.7

So you can either look at this as still kind of encouraging sign of strength,

1:16.3

or you can look at it that there's an awful lot of room to go still.

1:19.9

All kind of depends on your perspective.

1:21.7

I'll have more on this kind of growth tech versus value sort of discussion here in a moment.

1:29.8

Let me get into the COVID stuff and then we'll go around the horn.

1:34.0

Kind of a lot to chew on today.

1:37.1

Look, Labor Day report, there were only about 25,000 new cases yesterday.

1:43.4

And so you could chalk some of that up to Labor Day reporting issues.

1:50.0

But then even today here, it's looking, I don't have the final number yet,

1:55.3

but it's looking to be quite low again.

1:59.6

And so there's no question that the case reporting has definitely dropped.

...

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