Covid and Markets - Tuesday September 8
The Dividend Cafe
The Dividend Cafe - The Bahnsen Group
4.9 • 572 Ratings
🗓️ 8 September 2020
⏱️ 13 minutes
🔗️ Recording | Apple Podcasts | RSS
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Summary
The market dropped for the third day in a row, again led substantially by the sell-off in big tech (the Nasdaq is down 10% since last Wednesday’s late day high). The Dow is down ~1,600 points since mid-week last week, about half of the drop in the Nasdaq in percentage terms. Futures were pointing up ~200 points last night, but today the market opened down 400 points and chopped around throughout the day, taking two turns down in the final two hours of trading.
Expect a bit more markets and economic coverage in this week’s missives than normal because the Friday Dividend Cafe will be exclusively focused as the special election issue. We are entering a new phase of the COVID economic recovery that I believe will move slower than the first half has moved. A lot of the low-hanging fruit of job recovery and activity-resurgence has taken place, but normalized conditions are a ways off and will likely see a slowdown in pace of recovery from here.
COVID Health Information
• I am sure the Labor Day report of just 27,000 new cases yesterday was low around holiday reporting issues. The 7-day moving average is dropping ever so slowly. • The 7-day rolling average for daily mortalities is down 12% from the week prior and down 22% from a month ago. • The leaders of nine major pharma companies, all engaged in leading vaccine efforts, sent a public letter vowing to take no shortcuts en route to a COVID vaccine. • Incredible news (I will keep this updated as long as Dr. Bostom keeps maintaining the source report): 26,000 alleged COVID positive cases on college campuses now; zero hospitalizations
Links mentioned in this episode: DividendCafe.com TheBahnsenGroup.com
Transcript
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| 0:00.0 | Welcome to the Dividing Cafe, weekly market commentary focused on dividends in your portfolio |
| 0:06.5 | and dividends in your understanding of economic life. |
| 0:12.1 | Hello and welcome to today's COVID and markets podcast brought to you by the Dividing Cafe of |
| 0:17.6 | the Bonson Group. We had our third day in a row of a sell-off in the market, |
| 0:22.3 | again, primarily led by the tech sector and the NASDAQ. Nasdaq was down over 4%. The Dow was down |
| 0:31.9 | just over 2%. S&P somewhere in between. The Dow is down 1,600 points since the middle of last week, |
| 0:40.2 | which is about half of the percentage drop that the NASDAQ is seen. |
| 0:45.1 | The NASDAQ is now down 10% since it's high of last Wednesday. |
| 0:51.5 | And keep in mind, of course, yesterday Labor Day was a holiday. |
| 0:57.9 | So you definitely are |
| 1:05.7 | getting a bit of a tech correction i just want to remind everyone that the NASDAQ is still up 55 from its march bottom and still up 21% year to date. |
| 1:11.7 | So you can either look at this as still kind of encouraging sign of strength, |
| 1:16.3 | or you can look at it that there's an awful lot of room to go still. |
| 1:19.9 | All kind of depends on your perspective. |
| 1:21.7 | I'll have more on this kind of growth tech versus value sort of discussion here in a moment. |
| 1:29.8 | Let me get into the COVID stuff and then we'll go around the horn. |
| 1:34.0 | Kind of a lot to chew on today. |
| 1:37.1 | Look, Labor Day report, there were only about 25,000 new cases yesterday. |
| 1:43.4 | And so you could chalk some of that up to Labor Day reporting issues. |
| 1:50.0 | But then even today here, it's looking, I don't have the final number yet, |
| 1:55.3 | but it's looking to be quite low again. |
| 1:59.6 | And so there's no question that the case reporting has definitely dropped. |
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