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Nutrition Facts with Dr. Greger

COVID-19 Series: Why Can’t We Stop COVID-19?

Nutrition Facts with Dr. Greger

Michael Greger, M.D. FACLM

Nutrition, Alternative Health, Health & Fitness

4.83.7K Ratings

🗓️ 24 September 2020

⏱️ 19 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

What can we learn from other countries and the 1918 pandemic to slow the spread?

This episode features audio from R0 and Incubation Periods: How Other Coronavirus Outbreaks Were Stopped and Social Distancing, Lockdowns, & Testing: How to Slow the COVID-19 Pandemic. Visit the video pages for all sources and doctor’s notes related to this podcast.

Transcript

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0:00.0

Welcome to the Nutrition Facts Podcast.

0:03.3

I'm your host, Dr. Michael Greger.

0:06.5

Many of us are feeling helpless in the face of the current pandemic, but the good news

0:10.9

is there things we can do right now to reduce our risk of falling seriously ill and dying

0:15.8

from COVID-19 and preventing even greater infectious disease threats in the future.

0:22.8

I've talked about the emergence of other deadly coronavirus outbreaks like SARS and

0:27.4

MERS, how were we able to get them under control?

0:33.3

MERS could be stopped because of its relatively low basic reproduction number, abbreviated

0:39.0

as R with little subscript 0, that's the R-NOT you may have heard about.

0:44.7

The reason they call it the reproduction number is because the concept goes back to the

0:49.1

study of human population growth, like the number of daughters on average each woman

0:53.6

had.

0:54.9

But in infectious disease, it represents the number of people a single infected individual

1:01.0

is expected to pass the disease along to in a susceptible population.

1:05.2

So R-NOT is a measure of how contagious a new pathogen is.

1:10.3

For the MERS coronavirus, the Middle East respiratory syndrome virus, there are not

1:15.9

with only about one.

1:17.5

So each MERS patient tended to transmit the disease to only one other person.

1:22.8

You can imagine how much easier a disease like that can be stopped compared to a virus

1:27.2

with the potential to spread exponentially, viruses like the SARS or COVID-19 coronaviruses

1:34.4

with an R-NOT of 2 or greater.

1:37.4

In the case of a virus with an R-NOT of 2, for example, unless stopped, one infected person

...

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