4.8 • 3.6K Ratings
🗓️ 24 September 2020
⏱️ 19 minutes
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0:00.0 | Welcome to the Nutrition Facts Podcast. |
0:03.3 | I'm your host, Dr. Michael Greger. |
0:06.5 | Many of us are feeling helpless in the face of the current pandemic, but the good news |
0:10.9 | is there things we can do right now to reduce our risk of falling seriously ill and dying |
0:15.8 | from COVID-19 and preventing even greater infectious disease threats in the future. |
0:22.8 | I've talked about the emergence of other deadly coronavirus outbreaks like SARS and |
0:27.4 | MERS, how were we able to get them under control? |
0:33.3 | MERS could be stopped because of its relatively low basic reproduction number, abbreviated |
0:39.0 | as R with little subscript 0, that's the R-NOT you may have heard about. |
0:44.7 | The reason they call it the reproduction number is because the concept goes back to the |
0:49.1 | study of human population growth, like the number of daughters on average each woman |
0:53.6 | had. |
0:54.9 | But in infectious disease, it represents the number of people a single infected individual |
1:01.0 | is expected to pass the disease along to in a susceptible population. |
1:05.2 | So R-NOT is a measure of how contagious a new pathogen is. |
1:10.3 | For the MERS coronavirus, the Middle East respiratory syndrome virus, there are not |
1:15.9 | with only about one. |
1:17.5 | So each MERS patient tended to transmit the disease to only one other person. |
1:22.8 | You can imagine how much easier a disease like that can be stopped compared to a virus |
1:27.2 | with the potential to spread exponentially, viruses like the SARS or COVID-19 coronaviruses |
1:34.4 | with an R-NOT of 2 or greater. |
1:37.4 | In the case of a virus with an R-NOT of 2, for example, unless stopped, one infected person |
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