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The Wilderness

Could Trump-Curious Black Voters Swing the Election? (Ep. 3)

The Wilderness

The Wilderness

News, Politics

4.812.8K Ratings

🗓️ 9 June 2024

⏱️ 60 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Jon is joined by pollster Terrance Woodbury and Lavora Barnes, Chair of the Michigan Democratic Party, to talk about the black voters who may cast their ballots for Trump this November. Who are they? Why are they leaving the Democratic Party? And how can we bring them back into the fold? Jon, Terrance, and Lavora dive into focus group tape, the Trump campaign’s strategy, and Biden’s recent speeches to find a message that works for these voters and then John Taylor, co-founder of Black Male Initiative Georgia, reminds us that the work of organizing should always begin with love.

Transcript

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0:00.0

We are not choosing our champion. We are not choosing our opposition. We're not choosing Trump over Biden. We're not choosing Biden over Trump.

0:15.2

We're making very strategic calculated analysis about who's going to put more food on

0:20.8

our table. Moreover, we're choosing the landscape upon which we're going to cite.

0:26.3

We're asking ourselves critical questions about which one of these structures is going to result

0:31.6

in the best wins, the greatest advancement for our people.

0:36.0

Black men chase after no one.

0:39.0

We lead, we build, we grow, But in order to do that, we must be heard.

0:47.0

John Taylor is a co-founder of the Black Mail Initiative, an organization based out of Georgia that's all about

0:53.8

empowering black men through grassroots organizing. We called them up to ask what's

0:58.0

happening with black voters this election cycle, a question that seems to be confounding

1:02.3

almost everyone in politics right now.

1:04.6

Since the Civil Rights Act, black voters have supported Democratic candidates

1:08.7

more than any other group of voters in America. That was true again in 2020, when increased black turnout

1:15.7

in states like Georgia made all the difference in a race that was decided by about 40,000

1:20.6

votes. But since 2020, there have been some warning signs the

1:25.2

Democrats may be losing support among the party's most reliable constituency.

1:30.5

In the 2022 midterms, black turnout declined by nearly a quarter compared to the 2018 midterms.

1:38.0

And right now, even some of the highest quality polls are showing Biden losing support among black voters,

1:44.0

especially younger black voters and younger black men.

1:48.0

The latest New York Times set of battleground polls found more than one in five black swing state voters say that they're even open to voting for Donald Trump.

1:59.0

Could that really be true?

2:01.0

Or is it just a bunch of noise in an election where most voters still aren't tuned in?

...

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