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More or Less: Behind the Stats

Could the winter fuel cut cost more than it saves?

More or Less: Behind the Stats

BBC

Business, Mathematics, Science, News Commentary, News

4.63.5K Ratings

🗓️ 25 September 2024

⏱️ 29 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

The government is encouraging pensioners to claim pension credit in order to remain eligible for winter fuel payments. Will people sign up - and might that end up costing the exchequer more than it saves?

The Office for National Statistics has downgraded the status of a new statistic aiming to measure how many people are transgender. What went wrong?

Cancer appears to be on the rise in people under 50. But are more people dying?

And try your hand at a puzzle you’re likely to get wrong.

Tim Harford investigates some of the numbers in the news.

Presenter: Tim Harford Producers: Natasha Fernandes and Bethan Ashmead-Latham Series producer: Tom Colls Production co-ordinator: Katie Morrison Sound mix: Sarah Hockley Editor: Richard Vadon

Transcript

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0:00.0

I'm Kim Ketrau and I want to tell you about my new podcast a new audio drama telling the history of the CIA from the inside out.

0:09.0

The United States of America was suddenly its worst domestic attack.

0:14.0

He's got to convince Congress to give him an open checkbook now.

0:18.0

America has suffered its worst domestic attack of the 20th century at Pearl Harbor.

0:23.0

How do we make contact with the NKGB?

0:27.0

Central Intelligence, starring me, Kim Kertral, Ed Harris, and Johnny Flynn.

0:31.0

There's $50,000 in it for you if you say yes.

0:34.8

Listen on BBC Sounds.

0:38.8

BBC Sounds, music radio podcasts. Hello and welcome to more or less.

0:45.0

We're a statistical lighthouse piercing the darkness of numerical confusion and allowing you to safely reach the harbour of rationality.

0:54.0

Or to put it another way, we're a radio program about numbers and clear thinking.

0:59.0

And I'm Tim Harford.

1:00.0

This week, the government is encouraging pensioners to claim pension credit in order to remain eligible for interfuel payments.

1:09.0

Will people sign up?

1:10.0

And might that end up costing the exchequer more than it saves?

1:14.9

The Office for National Statistics has downgraded the status of a new statistic aiming to measure

1:20.8

how many people are transgender. We ask what went wrong. Cancer appears

1:26.2

to be on the rise in the under 50s. Why and how worried should we be? And here's a puzzle for you to think about. If it takes a hen and a half, a day

1:35.7

and a half to lay an egg and a half, how many eggs to half a dozen hens lay in half a dozen

1:40.9

days? Later in the programme, Puzzle Pranks to Alex Bellos will join us with the answer.

1:46.7

Let's start with winter fuel payments. The government, as we've noted before, is very concerned with filling

1:55.5

a black hole in the public finances which they say is 22 billion pounds deep. The first attempt

...

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