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Today in Focus

Could the Iran war trigger a global economic crisis? – The Latest

Today in Focus

The Guardian

News, Daily News

4.65.9K Ratings

🗓️ 4 March 2026

⏱️ 11 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Global oil and gas prices have skyrocketed as war halts energy exports from the Middle East. The strait of Hormuz, a narrow passage of water that facilitates the shipping of about a fifth of the world’s oil, has been in effect closed since the regional war began, prompting fears of a global economic crisis. According to reports, traffic has dropped by about 80%, but how long until we feel the effects? Nosheen Iqbal speaks to the Guardian’s head of business, John Collingridge watch on YouTube. Help support our independent journalism at theguardian.com/infocus

Transcript

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0:00.0

This is The Guardian.

0:10.0

Stock markets reacting really violently, steep falls around the world.

0:14.9

Iran has basically said that anything that passes through the straits, fair game.

0:18.8

They'll set it to blaze, I think was the phrase that they're used. It's effectively like the world's gas station, and there's a huge queue outside it.

0:26.4

Nobody can get in, nobody can get out. It feels like a net result of all of this is you have a far more

0:32.0

uncertain world, and all that feeds through to higher prices. War in the Middle East is sending

0:37.1

shockwaves through the global economy.

0:39.4

But why does the price of oil and gas matter so much?

0:43.1

From The Guardians today in focus, this is the latest with me, Noshinikbar.

0:51.8

Joining me today is the Guardian's head of business, John Collingridge.

0:56.3

John, thank you so much for joining us. We are now on day five of this war. And from the

1:01.4

perspective of the global economy, it doesn't look great, does it? Now, you're our head

1:06.8

of business, so I'm hoping you're going to walk us through this in the most simplest terms.

1:10.5

But how have the markets been responding to all the turmoil in the Middle East?

1:15.3

What we've seen over the last few days, since the attacks over the weekend, stock markets

1:20.3

reacting really violently, steep falls around the world. So overnight, the Asian markets fell

1:25.9

really sharply. In fact, in South Korea, they had to

1:28.6

have to stop, they used a circuit breaker to stop the market for it temporarily because the

1:32.8

falls were so steep. And then on the other side, you've seen commodity costs, particularly

1:37.0

oil and gas, go through the roof. You've seen really sharp increases, particularly in gas,

1:42.6

because this region is such a big exporter of oil

1:45.0

and gas and those ships are stopped from traversing through the Strait of Humus.

...

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