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Hello and welcome to this special Saturday edition of Coffee House Shots.

I'm Katie Balls and I'm joined by James O'Sive and Isfah Hardman.

On Thursday, Friday, we spent the day chewing for those results.

But now we're past the initial announcements. What does it mean in terms of next-general election?

There are two projections, one by the BBC and one by the Sky in terms of what general

election seat protection would be based on the local election results. We're going to do both in

the interest of fairness as we're not quite sure which is right. The first is the BBC

seat projection. It puts Labour as the largest party on 291. The Tories second largest at 253.

The Lib Dems on 31. And then there's the Sky poll which puts the Conservatives as the largest

party on 278. But with Labour closely behind in 271 and then the Lib Dems on 28.

Now to begin, James, obviously we're looking at what a local election result might look like

as a general election. But it's interesting because actually when Spads had their weekly meeting

on Friday, one of the things that they were told by David Cansey and the Deputy Chief of Staff

that there were shown graphs as to what a local election looks like compared to the election

the next year and often they're quite different. Yeah, you can read too much into local election

results. And if you look at 2012, the Tory National Vote Show event was 31%,

it's 30% in this election. Three years later, the Tories went on to win a majority.

But what I think those two projections get at is right now, I think the most likely result of

the next election seems to be that there would be an anti-tory majority in the next parliament.

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