4.8 • 786 Ratings
🗓️ 13 February 2021
⏱️ 9 minutes
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0:00.0 | Welcome back to The Breakdown with me, NLW. |
0:08.9 | It's a daily podcast on macro, Bitcoin, and the big picture power shifts remaking our world. |
0:15.9 | The breakdown is sponsored by nexo.io and produced and distributed by coin desk. |
0:22.4 | What's going on, guys? It is Saturday, February 13th, and that means it's time for the weekly |
0:28.4 | recap. This was a truly insane week. I mean, can you believe that it was Monday of this week that we got Tesla's $1.5 billion Bitcoin |
0:41.7 | Buy announcement? When all is said and done, however, what's super clear to me is that this |
0:47.8 | week has shown the two new extreme polls of what this industry faces. Indeed, the fact that they are so extreme is what |
0:57.2 | reinforces the extremity of the other one. To explain what I mean, I want to go back to a week ago |
1:03.2 | and my conversation with Travis Kling. Travis and I went deep into the most recent round of |
1:08.8 | Bitcoin criticism, and his TLDR thesis is that much of it is disingenuous. |
1:15.0 | And here's his main point. |
1:16.9 | It's not that the things that people are saying are by definition wrong. |
1:21.5 | It's just that the way that you deal with them is by thinking in terms of risk adjustment. |
1:26.3 | In other words, what's the probability that a thing, |
1:29.2 | either a good thing or a bad thing, happens, and what's the cost or opportunity of it if it does? |
1:35.3 | You then take this and weigh it into a thesis about allocation percentage and price. |
1:40.9 | Instead, what he's seeing is all these people who are saying, because there is risk, |
1:44.9 | you shouldn't invest at all, which clearly feels like there's an agenda. Now, within this context, |
1:50.7 | one of the risks that he mentioned, and certainly the one that I think is the biggest on people's |
1:55.1 | concern right now, is the risk that if these assets, Bitcoin specifically becomes too big, governments will ban them. |
2:03.1 | And this week, we did see some embers of truth to that argument. |
2:08.0 | Wednesday's show was all about what's happening in India and Nigeria. |
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