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Science Rules! with Bill Nye

Coronavirus: What The Numbers Tell Us

Science Rules! with Bill Nye

Stitcher

Science

4.6 β€’ 4.7K Ratings

πŸ—“οΈ 27 March 2020

⏱️ 20 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Hospitalization rates, exponential growth and flattening the curve – all these concepts are now part of our daily vocabulary. But understanding them properly takes some expertise. Bio-statistician Adam Kucharski joins Bill Nye to make sense of the data on COVID-19, and what to watch out for.

Transcript

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0:00.0

Witness Docs from Stitcher

0:12.0

This is an historic time. This could be the next 1918 pandemic.

0:17.0

Why is it taking so long to get a screening test? Are you isolating yourself?

0:21.0

You can. It's actually to protect you.

0:24.0

Wash hands, wash hands, wash hands.

0:27.0

I mean you're the scientist. You're going to have to tell me.

0:33.0

Welcome, welcome to Science Rules, coronavirus edition.

0:36.0

I'm your host, Bill Nye, and this is the series that brings you the latest analysis and the science of this pandemic

0:43.0

to keep you informed, prepared, and calm.

0:47.0

We're all in this together, my friends.

0:49.0

In the US, more coronavirus cases are being reported every day.

0:54.0

And part of the reason we're seeing this rise is because more tests are being conducted.

0:59.0

At the same time, here in New York, the hospitalization rates have begun to slow.

1:05.0

On Sunday, they were doubling every two days. On Monday, every 3.4 days, on Tuesday, every 4.7 days.

1:13.0

It seems to be spreading out, slowing down.

1:17.0

But is this progress real? Or is it just a consequence of so-called small sample sizes?

1:23.0

I mean, two days, four days. That's not that much to go on.

1:27.0

But get this. As of Thursday, the 26th of March, there have been 79,082 confirmed cases of COVID-19 in the US with over 1,000 deaths.

1:40.0

So a question on everyone's mind. How long till the number of cases reported every day begins to go down, begins to decrease?

1:49.0

If we relax our isolation efforts, social distancing, and so on, will the numbers go right back up again?

1:56.0

These are the kinds of questions I want to ask our guest today.

2:00.0

He's Adam Kucharski, a bio-statistician at the London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine.

...

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