Conservative Trading In An Aggressive Market
Swing Trading the Stock Market
Ryan Mallory
4.7 • 828 Ratings
🗓️ 30 October 2019
⏱️ 15 minutes
🧾️ Download transcript
Summary
The stock market can go on aggressive runs and rallies, but should you commit your capital fully to each one, and do so blindly? There are some stock market rallies that are made to be aggressive with, and others that require that you be more on the conservative side. I use the current market rally that we are on right now as an example of why I was more conservative in my approach despite a market that was increasing in value at a very rapid pace to new all-time highs.
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Transcript
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| 0:00.0 | Learn to trade stock successfully. |
| 0:09.3 | Learn to profit consistently. |
| 0:12.2 | I'm Ryan Mallory, and on my weekly podcast, I'm going to teach you the ends and |
| 0:16.9 | outs of a complex, ever-changing stock market. You will learn to trade better, trade smarter, |
| 0:24.6 | and profit bigger. Now, let's go trade. Hey everybody, this is Ryan Mallory, and today's podcast |
| 0:32.8 | episode, being conservative and a very aggressive stock market. |
| 0:40.6 | That's kind of what I've been in these past couple months. |
| 0:41.7 | I've been quite conservative. |
| 0:47.4 | Usually I'll take the trend and I'll follow the trend lines and I will trade the market pretty strong. |
| 0:50.2 | Especially when we start to get a bounce, I love being part of the balances. |
| 0:55.5 | Back in late September, we had a okay sell-off, not a huge sell-off, but it was a respectable sell-off. We went from about 3,000 to about 2850 or so. I'm not giving you exact numbers here. |
| 1:01.6 | I'm just kind of more like estimations. And then we've been simply just balancing ever since. |
| 1:06.3 | I thought close to the October lows, I thought we probably break the August lows, but that did not |
| 1:12.1 | happen whatsoever. Instead, we went on this amazing rally, and it wasn't without its ups and downs, |
| 1:20.2 | the first week at least, but then after you got past that, it was quite impressive. It rallied |
| 1:24.8 | with a 10-day moving average underneath. It blew away the 20-day moving average and the 50-day moving average to where it's so far below the current price right now. It would take a huge pullback just for it to be tested. But all along, I've been pretty conservative. I haven't made a lot of trades in the month of October, despite October being up and now hitting new all-time highs as of yesterday. |
| 1:46.0 | I have been consistently conservative. I haven't really done too much chasing. I've been a little |
| 1:50.5 | bit doubtful of the market. Now there's this famous saying that says the market can stay |
| 1:54.2 | irrational a lot longer than you can stay solvent and it's very true. A market can stay very |
| 1:59.5 | irrational. And so if you're trying to short the top |
| 2:01.7 | the whole time and thinking, okay, this time it's the top and this time's the top, you're going to, |
| 2:06.2 | or if you don't even cover your shorts, you're thinking eventually it's got to come down. |
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