Conference Championship Initial Thoughts
The Simple Handicap: Daily NFL Betting Podcast with Adam Chernoff
Adam Chernoff
4.8 • 1.3K Ratings
🗓️ 22 January 2024
⏱️ 29 minutes
🧾️ Download transcript
Summary
My initial thoughts and reaction to conference championship weekend opening odds.
Transcript
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| 0:00.0 | Good morning, everybody, the Simple Handicap for Monday, January 22nd. Thank you for making me a part of your morning, recording this just after 1230 a.m. Eastern Time from a cold, balmy evening in Buffalo. |
| 0:13.7 | Was a treat to get to go to Mahomes Allen number seven. An instant classic was very fun. And I think something we can dive into a little |
| 0:22.1 | bit more on the Wednesday live stream. But for the purposes of this podcast, the second to last |
| 0:27.4 | episode of the 2003 NFL season, we're going to dive into the conference championship games, |
| 0:33.7 | get my initial reactions. And this is a very authentic episode as always with these initial |
| 0:38.4 | reactions coming up for the first time looking at the point spreads and totals for each of these |
| 0:43.9 | matchups let's begin with the early game kansas city on the road at the baltimore ravens currently |
| 0:49.0 | looking at ravens minus three and a half even money at chris circus showing plus money everywhere else on the board right now is either three and a half even money at Chris, circus showing plus money. |
| 0:54.7 | Everywhere else on the board right now is either three and a half even money |
| 0:58.3 | or you're looking at a very expensive three for Baltimore total in this game, |
| 1:02.7 | 44.5, shaded to the under, down from 45 and a half at the open. |
| 1:08.6 | I think this is, to me anyway, the much more interesting matchup of the final two games |
| 1:15.1 | of this Sunday coming up. |
| 1:17.0 | And I say that because I think it's going to be really difficult to try figure out what |
| 1:23.8 | is going to happen pregame in this spot. |
| 1:26.8 | And that to me is because we're seeing some changes from the chiefs offensively. |
| 1:34.1 | And you have to try gauge if that is real or not. |
| 1:37.4 | And at the same time, you're seeing Baltimore come out of a game where they got a massive surprise thrown at them in the first half, |
| 1:46.7 | quickly adjusted, and now you kind of have to figure out what Kansas City might try to do, |
| 1:53.8 | because we saw them do something pretty extreme against the bills. |
| 1:58.1 | And so let's talk about each of this and try to perhaps a possible |
| 2:03.6 | conclusion on this game from the side perspective. So first of all, the price point from the |
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