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COINDESK DAILY: Expect Bitcoin Price Swings as Kamala Harris' Winning Odds Improve on Polymarket

CoinDesk Podcast Network

CoinDesk

Business News, Daily News, News, Tech News

4.7698 Ratings

🗓️ 4 November 2024

⏱️ 3 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Host Christine Lee breaks down the news in the crypto industry from Kamala Harris' winning odds on Polymarket to bitcoin's price swings ahead of the election. The winning odds of Democratic presidential candidate Kamala Harris on Polymarket continue to rise. Plus, how bitcoin price will move ahead of the U.S. election and Singapore doubles down on tokenization of financial services. "CoinDesk Daily" host Christine Lee breaks down the biggest headlines in the crypto industry today. - This episode was hosted by Christine Lee. “CoinDesk Daily” is produced by Christine Lee, Jennifer Sanasie, Melissa Montañez and edited by Victor Chen. See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

Transcript

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0:00.0

Analysts say expect volatile price swings ahead of the U.S. election as Kamala Harris' election odds improve.

0:06.8

This is CoinDest Daily. I'm your host Christine Lee.

0:14.4

Cryptot traders awaiting a surge in Bitcoin price volatility may soon have it their way, as derivatives experts suggest the impending

0:21.9

U.S. presidential election could trigger price swings matching the dramatic movements of

0:27.3

early August. Amber Data derivatives director Greg Magadini forecasting to CoinDesk a $6,000 to $8,000

0:34.9

BTC price swing as a result of the post-election price reaction.

0:40.3

The projection is based on the annualized forward volatility derived from the November 6th

0:45.3

options trading on Deribit, which suggests a price fluctuation of $4,000 in either direction.

0:52.3

Bitcoin trading above $68,000 during the U.S. morning Monday after falling

0:57.0

about 6% from near record high levels touched last week. The broader crypto market is steady,

1:03.0

up about 1% on the day, according to the coin S20. Perceived winning odds of Democrat Kamala

1:10.0

Harris continued to rise on betting platform

1:12.3

polymarket, with users buying and selling hundreds of thousands of favorite shares in a bump

1:17.4

for market activity. Shares of Harris winning the election surging to about 42 cents ahead of

1:23.3

Tuesday's vote, up from 33 cents on October 30th, Republican Donald Trump's shares fell dropping from

1:30.3

66 cents to 59 cents. Meanwhile, polling aggregator real clear polling gives Trump a microscopic edge

1:38.3

at 48.5%. The increase in Harris's odds might be due to traders hedging their bets, according to a

1:46.0

coin-esque analysis, with a study of trades above $10,000 suggesting both large bets on Harris

1:52.6

and strategic trading to protect against a Trump loss. Singapore's central bank saying it will

1:59.2

introduce new measures to advance tokenization and financial services.

2:03.9

The Monetary Authority of Singapore aims to form commercial networks to deepen liquidity of tokenized assets,

2:10.1

developing an ecosystem of market infrastructures, foster industry frameworks for tokenized asset implementation,

...

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