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Best of the Spectator

Coffee House Shots: Will Boris get his Christmas general election?

Best of the Spectator

The Spectator

News Commentary, News, Daily News, Society & Culture

4.4785 Ratings

🗓️ 28 October 2019

⏱️ 13 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

With James Forsyth and Katy Balls, presented by Fraser Nelson.

Join Fraser, James, Katy, Liam Halligan and Sam Gyimah for Coffee House Live at the Emmanuel Centre in Westminster on 12 November. Visit spectator.co.uk/liveshots for details.

Coffee House Shots is a series of podcasts on British politics from the Spectator's political team and special guests. Brought to you daily, click here to find more episodes that are not released on Spectator Radio.

Transcript

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0:00.0

Welcome to Coffee House Shops of Spectators' Daily Politics Podcast. Are we finally on the brink of a general election being called?

0:11.6

Joe Swinson, the leader of the Liberal Democrat, said she's done a deal with the S&P, where they are tomorrow going to have a vote in Parliament, a vote that's quite likely to get the Conservative support.

0:21.2

I'm Fraser Nelson, and I'm joined by James Forsyth and Katie Bowles to discuss.

0:26.1

Katie, there's going to be a vote, a government vote today.

0:29.4

We're expecting them to lose that vote?

0:32.1

That's on the Fixed Parliament Act.

0:33.6

In other words, Labour, if Labour vote against it, the motion falls.

0:37.1

Yes, between now and the vote this evening, Boris Johnson is going to lose that unless Labor

0:43.3

suddenly changed their position drastically and say they're going to support Boris Johnson.

0:48.6

What Boris Johnson is doing is calling for an election December 12 under the Fix 10 Parliament Act.

0:53.9

That means he needs two thirds of MPs to back it.

0:56.9

And at the moment, he does not have the numbers.

0:58.6

He doesn't have the votes.

1:00.2

So you could draw from that that an election before Christmas looks unlikely.

1:03.8

But the reason that there's still a good chance of one,

1:06.6

even if Boris Johnson loses the vote this evening,

1:09.3

is that there is another plan being put forward

1:11.8

by opposition MPs, notably Joe Swinson, the leader of the Liberal Democrats and Ian Blackford

1:17.2

from the SMP, which is to push for a general election on the 9th of December three days earlier

1:23.4

than Boris Johnson's preferred date. Now, they plan to put forward a bill and this would require

1:29.4

a simple majority because it would override the fixed-term Parliament Act. Now, at the weekend when

1:35.2

this was first announced, you had various cabinet ministers on the Sunday shows suggesting this was

...

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