Hello and welcome to Coffee House Shots, the Spectator's Daily Politics Podcast. I'm Isba Harbman

and I'm joined by James Forsyth and Katie Balls. Now we've got yet another statement from Theresa May

on Brexit in the Commons this afternoon. Katie, what on earth is she going to tell us that we don't

already know? We've had a few clues and it seems like she's going to tell us things that we've already heard before.

So Theresa May was due to come back to the house today and present her next steps and perhaps her plan beyond Brexit.

But the consensus so far is that her plan B looks a lot like her plan A.

So we heard about cross-party talks after she suffered her historic defeat last week, 230 votes.

And there did seem to be a suggestion coming from the Prime Minister's own mouth,

that she was going to try and come up a new plan,

which would look to talking to MPs from other parties.

It seems that after the process of

speaking to such MPs and speaking to figures in her cabinet, there's been a decision made that

actually pivoting for Labour votes is a risky because you can't guarantee you're going to get

them, particularly when Jeremy Corbyn isn't engaging in the conversation, and too divisive. So if

Theresa May were to go to a permanent customs union in the political declaration, a Labour red line,

that might get her votes, but it would lose her some Tory votes and it would risk a split. And

that's that point that has been pressed by figures like Brandon Lewis and Julian Smith.

So her plan B is what we expected her to do all along, as far as we know, which is to try and get a concession on the backstop and through doing that, bring back the Brexiteer MPs and perhaps even the DEP.

This clearly isn't a foolproof plan given that she's been trying to get a concession on the backstop for some time.

And also, there's an added problem, which I think there are some figures in number 10 who think it's going to be even harder to get some form of concession on the backstop.

Because the defeat was so large, figures in Brussels Brussels think that if they don't play ball,

Theresa May will come and press to go for a softer Brexit. That is where the numbers are in Parliament

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