Closer ROI & 2023 Expectations, Projecting Risk & Jesse Winker is the Next Jesse Winker?
Rates & Barrels: A show about Baseball
The Athletic
4.7 • 874 Ratings
🗓️ 8 August 2022
⏱️ 58 minutes
🧾️ Download transcript
Summary
Eno and DVR discuss the value provided (or lack thereof) from the top-end closers in the pool so far this season, and whether that might lead to a less aggressive draft market toward the saves category in 2023. Plus, they consider what would go into a calculation that better quantifies risk, expectations for a few pitchers making late-season returns from injury, and candidates to be the 'next Jesse Winker'.
Rundown
-- Early Alternatives to Josh Hader and Liam Hendriks
-- Are Relievers Valued Incorrectly?
-- Overshopping the Bargain Bin
-- Will Sanity Return to Closer ADPs Next Season?
-- A Lot of Disappointment: Pick 100-200 Range
-- Quantifying Risk
-- Expectations for Late-Season SPs Returning From Injuries
-- An Approach to Hitters
-- Finding the Next Jesse Winker
Follow Eno on Twitter: @enosarris
Follow DVR on Twitter: @DerekVanRiper
e-mail: ratesandbarrels@theathletic.com
Related Reading 'Inter-Projection Volatility & The ATC Projections' by Ariel Cohen (@ATCNY): https://fantasy.fangraphs.com/inter-projection-volatility-the-atc-projections/
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Transcript
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| 0:00.0 | Welcome to rates and barrels. |
| 0:16.9 | It's Monday, August 8th. |
| 0:18.6 | Derek Van Riper, Inoceraris, here with you on this episode. |
| 0:22.2 | We've got a lot of big questions from the mailbag. |
| 0:25.1 | One about our expectations for closers in 2023. |
| 0:29.4 | Will sanity return to the ADP? |
| 0:31.7 | We'll take a look at whether or not early closers have been a good investment so far this season |
| 0:36.9 | and whether that might shape |
| 0:38.4 | the market for next season. |
| 0:40.7 | I'm going to dig into quantifying risk. |
| 0:43.4 | Really good question about that. |
| 0:45.0 | Injured pitchers still expected to come back this season, our expectations for those |
| 0:49.4 | players and a particular strategy approach with hitters that I think actually is really good, |
| 0:54.3 | but did not work particularly well for one of our listeners. |
| 0:57.6 | So we'll dig into that a little bit later on in the show as well. |
| 1:01.3 | Eno, how's it going for you on this Monday? |
| 1:03.4 | Touch and go, touch and go. |
| 1:05.2 | I have an allergy to raw garlic. |
| 1:08.6 | And I did not think that I had to think about like when I go to |
| 1:12.1 | Italian places I basically asked the waitress you know if I go to the Middle |
| 1:16.5 | Eastern I asked the way I asked somebody I asked the waiter ask somebody to cook |
| 1:20.5 | you know what's the raw garlic in I went and got ramen and I didn't know |
... |
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