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Clarity Act Odds Jump to 75% After Surprise Senate Vote | Alex Thorn

Bankless

Bankless

Tech News, Technology, News

4.71.2K Ratings

🗓️ 18 May 2026

⏱️ 50 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Two surprise Democrat votes just rerated the entire crypto policy timeline. After the Senate Banking Committee advanced the Clarity Act on a bipartisan basis, Galaxy Digital head of research Alex Thorn moved his odds of the bill being signed this year from a coin flip to 75%. He and David map the seven-week sprint to the president's desk, the ethics-provision standoff that could still sink everything, the bank lobby's quiet obstruction game, and why the stablecoin yield compromise leaves the real fight for rulemaking. ------ 📣SPOTIFY PREMIUM RSS FEED | USE CODE: SPOTIFY24 https://bankless.cc/spotify-premium ------ 🔮POLYMARKET | #1 PREDICTION MARKET https://bankless.cc/polymarket-podcast  🟦 COINBASE ONE | MEMBER MONTH https://bankless.cc/coinbase-one 🧭OKX | TRADE, EARN, PAY to OKX | 120M+ USERS WORLDWIDE https://app.okx.com/join/USBANKLESS 🦊 METAMASK | DOWNLOAD NOW https://go.metamask.io/BL-Pod-Download  🌐BRIX | EMERGING MARKET YIELD https://bankless.cc/brix 💰NEXO | Get your 30-day access to Wealth Club Premier https://bankless.cc/nexo  ------ TIMESTAMPS 0:00 Intro 0:39 Clarity Act Vote Reactions 5:16 What’s Next? 10:05 Trump Veto? 15:21 Stablecoin Rewards Compromise 28:14 Administration Precedence 31:02 Why is Clarity So Important? 41:01 Which Ecosystems Benefit the Most? 42:59 Clarity Act Passing Over-Under 48:17 Bitcoin Price After CLARITY 49:39 Closing & Disclaimers ------ RESOURCES Alex Thorn https://x.com/intangiblecoins  Galaxy Digital https://www.galaxy.com/  Senate Banking Committee Advances Crypto CLARITY Act https://www.bankless.com/read/news/senate-banking-committee-advances-crypto-clarity-act  ------ Not financial or tax advice. See our investment disclosures here: https://www.bankless.com/disclosures⁠

Transcript

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0:00.0

This bill is, and I've written about it as so foundational when you pair genius and clarity

0:06.3

together that it's almost like the Securities Act of 1933 and the Exchange Act of 1934, the pair of

0:13.1

which, and of course there were others that also mattered, but those two laws basically created

0:18.7

the conditions for the last 100 years of U.S. capital markets

0:22.8

dominance. And I sort of view the pair of genius and clarity, if we get these both through.

0:27.6

You're looking at decades of innovation and integration using blockchains in U.S. capital markets.

0:34.0

And that's why you want it.

0:39.3

All good. Bankless Nation, I'm here with Alex Thorne.

0:41.7

He is Head of Research at Galaxy Digital.

0:43.7

I think being head of research at Galaxy Digital means that you are researching Clarity Act for the past

0:48.4

two, three, four months, maybe even longer.

0:51.1

We just got a huge vote.

0:52.5

The Senate Banking Committee vote to pass the

0:55.6

Clarity Act past the committee. Now it has to go to the Senate floor, so we're definitely not done yet,

1:00.5

but a pretty substantial vote. Alex, how excited? How thrilled are you right now? How are you feeling?

1:06.9

I'm very excited. I've been a little bit on the pessimistic side in this bill over the months, you know, just the amount of complexity that is required, the competing equities, the banks and the Dems and the Republicans and the White House and the law enforcement and the developers.

1:24.3

And there's just so many and so many issues. It's such a big bill that I'd been generally,

1:29.0

I would say on the more pessimistic side, you know, in the sort of crypto policy world. I'm not

1:35.0

pessimistic now. I think we're saying 75% chance likely that it gets signed into law this year,

1:39.9

which is what me, I think two weeks ago I called it a 50-50 coin flip. That's because we were surprised in

1:47.4

the end. We got two Democrats to vote with the Republicans on the Senate Banking Committee to

1:51.6

advance the bill to the floor. So the bill is bipartisan. And we've all wanted that and worked

...

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